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Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Pre-Market Analysis

July 13, 202608:45 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.13830
-0.44%
GBP/USD
1.33472
-0.51%
USD/JPY
162.451
+0.05%
AUD/USD
0.69199
-0.35%
USD/CAD
1.41568
-0.04%
USD/CHF
0.81475
+1.02%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.2% Moderate
EUR/USD
Bearish
1.13830
-0.44%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (44.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
SHORTGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.14697 – 1.16322
Stop Loss1.18680
TP 11.10340
TP 21.09860
TP 31.07600
Risk : Reward1 : 1.6
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (1.14), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. At 44, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. Momentum confirmation is bearish β€” MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13254
Resistance1.16184
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.14481
50-day SMA1.15598
100-day SMA1.16023
200-day SMA1.16458
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 β€” short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 44.0 β€” Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode β€” refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.13830; midline 1.14349.
Volume Analysis
FX spot β€” no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.15493
0.3821.15065
0.5001.14719
0.6181.14374
0.7861.13881
Trade Setup
Entry
1.15510
Stop Loss
1.18680
Take Profit
1.10340
Risk / Reward
1:1.6
Sell
GBP/USD
Bearish
1.33472
-0.51%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (60.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
SHORTGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.33072 – 1.33977
Stop Loss1.38871
TP 11.30050
TP 21.28280
TP 31.27530
Risk : Reward1 : 0.6
Analyst Summary
With price anchored above the 20-day moving average (1.33), the short-term trend channel favours continuation higher. The 60 RSI reading is comfortably above the midline β€” momentum aligns with the directional thesis. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31430
Resistance1.34517
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33342
50-day SMA1.33924
100-day SMA1.34009
200-day SMA1.33964
Moving Average Signals
Mixed MA positioning β€” no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 60.0 β€” Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode β€” refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.33472; midline 1.32967.
Volume Analysis
FX spot β€” no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.33789
0.3821.33338
0.5001.32974
0.6181.32609
0.7861.32091
Trade Setup
Entry
1.33525
Stop Loss
1.38871
Take Profit
1.30050
Risk / Reward
1:0.6
Sell
USD/JPY
Neutral
162.451
+0.05%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (62.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone160.826 – 164.076
Stop Loss162.451
TP 1162.451
TP 2162.451
TP 3162.451
Risk : Reward1 : 400.0
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (162). The oscillator at 62 reflects sustained buying interest β€” bulls control the momentum channel. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis.
Support / Resistance
Support160.058
Resistance162.836
Moving Averages
21-day SMA161.630
50-day SMA160.030
100-day SMA159.313
200-day SMA157.087
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 β€” short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 62.1 β€” Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode β€” refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 162.451; midline 161.714.
Volume Analysis
FX spot β€” no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.236162.180
0.382161.775
0.500161.447
0.618161.119
0.786160.652
Trade Setup
Entry
162.451
Stop Loss
161.975
Take Profit
163.403
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Neutral
0.69199
-0.35%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (37.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.68507 – 0.69891
Stop Loss0.69199
TP 10.69199
TP 20.69199
TP 30.69199
Risk : Reward1 : 400.0
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (0.69), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. RSI at 38 lingers below the midline β€” momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. Momentum confirmation is bearish β€” MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68657
Resistance0.70791
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.69609
50-day SMA0.70704
100-day SMA0.70650
200-day SMA0.68752
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 β€” short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 37.8 β€” Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode β€” refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.69199; midline 0.69499.
Volume Analysis
FX spot β€” no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.70288
0.3820.69976
0.5000.69724
0.6180.69472
0.7860.69114
Trade Setup
Entry
0.69199
Stop Loss
0.68912
Take Profit
0.69775
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CAD
Bullish
1.41568
-0.04%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (49.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
LONGGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.40728 – 1.41993
Stop Loss1.37718
TP 11.46620
TP 22.00000
TP 31.52287
Risk : Reward1 : 1.4
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (1.42), shifting short-term structure to defensive. Momentum at 50 reflects a tape under pressure. Bulls need to push the oscillator back above 50 to shift the narrative. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39790
Resistance1.42478
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.41322
50-day SMA1.39431
100-day SMA1.38359
200-day SMA1.38499
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 β€” short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 49.7 β€” Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode β€” refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.41568; midline 1.41659.
Volume Analysis
FX spot β€” no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: LONG | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.41844
0.3821.41451
0.5001.41134
0.6181.40817
0.7861.40365
Trade Setup
Entry
1.41360
Stop Loss
1.37718
Take Profit
1.46620
Risk / Reward
1:1.4
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral
0.81475
+1.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (59.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.80660 – 0.82290
Stop Loss0.81475
TP 10.81475
TP 20.81475
TP 30.81475
Risk : Reward1 : 1.0
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (0.81). Momentum holds constructive at 60 β€” firmly in bullish territory with room to run before the tape gets stretched. Momentum confirmation is bearish β€” MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower.
Support / Resistance
Support0.79090
Resistance0.81492
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.80512
50-day SMA0.79459
100-day SMA0.79021
200-day SMA0.79170
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 β€” short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 59.5 β€” Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode β€” refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.81475; midline 0.80642.
Volume Analysis
FX spot β€” no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.80925
0.3820.80574
0.5000.80291
0.6180.80008
0.7860.79604
Trade Setup
Entry
0.81475
Stop Loss
0.81184
Take Profit
0.82058
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
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Key Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.