📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
23.9% High
Bitcoin (BTC)
Strong Bearish67,112.52
+0.27%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (44.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day moving average at 69,055 now acts as overhead resistance — bears have reclaimed near-term control. The 44 RSI keeps the momentum profile in bear territory. Rallies are selling opportunities until the 50-line is recaptured. MACD histogram negative and deepening — the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Below-average volume undermines conviction in the current direction. Confirmation requires a pick-up in participation.
Support / Resistance
Support62,553.19
Resistance75,988.40
Moving Averages
21-day SMA69,233.04
50-day SMA68,635.51
100-day SMA76,802.78
200-day SMA89,616.11
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) — Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.4 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 75,988.40 |
| 23.6% | 72,817.69 |
| 38.2% | 70,856.15 |
| 50.0% | 69,270.79 |
| 61.8% | 67,685.44 |
| 78.6% | 65,428.32 |
| Low (100.0%) | 62,553.19 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 77,734.98 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 79,642.78 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 84,291.36 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 60,806.61 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 58,898.81 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 54,250.23 |
Trade Setup
Entry
67,112.52
Stop Loss
68,470.53
Take Profit
64,396.50
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread77%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)77%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)70%
Sell Naked Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Bearish2,051.21
-0.11%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (47.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (2,111) flips the near-term structure bearish — the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. With RSI at 48, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Below-average volume undermines conviction in the current direction. Confirmation requires a pick-up in participation.
Support / Resistance
Support1,804.11
Resistance2,384.47
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,114.02
50-day SMA2,046.03
100-day SMA2,422.34
200-day SMA3,005.63
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 47.8 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,384.47 |
| 23.6% | 2,247.50 |
| 38.2% | 2,162.77 |
| 50.0% | 2,094.29 |
| 61.8% | 2,025.81 |
| 78.6% | 1,928.31 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1,804.11 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,459.91 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,542.32 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,743.12 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,728.67 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,646.26 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1,445.46 |
Trade Setup
Entry
2,051.21
Stop Loss
2,104.62
Take Profit
1,944.39
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread70%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Iron Condor70%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread70%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track institutional BTC ETF flow data against derivatives open interest growth for macro-driven allocation cues.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.