π Originally published at shunya.trade β View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Forex Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.4% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish1.17947
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (74.4)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (1.16), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. With RSI at 74, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. The convergence-divergence oscillator prints a bullish signal. Histogram expansion above zero validates the upside move. Strategy selection converges on Short Put (Cash-Secured) (68%) β the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support1.14000
Resistance1.18000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.16000
50-day SMA1.16000
100-day SMA1.17000
200-day SMA1.17000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 74.4 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.18000 |
| 23.6% | 1.17000 |
| 38.2% | 1.16000 |
| 50.0% | 1.16000 |
| 61.8% | 1.15000 |
| 78.6% | 1.15000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.14000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.19000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.20000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.21000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.13000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.12000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.11000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.18000
Stop Loss
1.18000
Take Profit
1.19000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)68%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call68%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread68%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish1.35681
+0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (71.9)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 1.33 continues to act as dynamic support β price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. The 72 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. Momentum confirmation from MACD β the signal line crossover is bullish and the histogram continues to expand. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Short Put (Cash-Secured) as the highest-conviction play at 68%.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31000
Resistance1.36000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33000
50-day SMA1.34000
100-day SMA1.35000
200-day SMA1.34000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 71.9 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.36000 |
| 23.6% | 1.35000 |
| 38.2% | 1.34000 |
| 50.0% | 1.34000 |
| 61.8% | 1.33000 |
| 78.6% | 1.32000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.31000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.36000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.37000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.39000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.31000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.30000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.29000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.36000
Stop Loss
1.35000
Take Profit
1.37000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)68%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call68%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread68%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
USD/JPY
Bearish158.803
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (48.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day average at 159 has failed as support, transitioning into resistance. Price must reclaim it to neutralize the bearish signal. The 49 RSI keeps the momentum profile in bear territory. Rallies are selling opportunities until the 50-line is recaptured. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The scoring engine flags Bear Call Spread with a 64% conviction score β the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support155.360
Resistance160.560
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.450
50-day SMA158.720
100-day SMA157.290
200-day SMA155.220
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 48.7 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 160.560 |
| 23.6% | 159.330 |
| 38.2% | 158.570 |
| 50.0% | 157.960 |
| 61.8% | 157.340 |
| 78.6% | 156.470 |
| Low (100.0%) | 155.360 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 161.240 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 161.980 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 163.780 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 154.680 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 153.940 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 152.140 |
Trade Setup
Entry
158.800
Stop Loss
159.190
Take Profit
158.020
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread64%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)64%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)57%
Sell Naked Call
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish0.71221
-0.07%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (73.9)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 0.70 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. At 74 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. The MACD reading adds conviction to the long thesis β positive and expanding histogram with a bullish signal-line cross. The model's top pick is Short Put (Cash-Secured) (68%) β the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68000
Resistance0.72000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70000
50-day SMA0.70000
100-day SMA0.70000
200-day SMA0.68000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 73.9 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 0.72000 |
| 23.6% | 0.71000 |
| 38.2% | 0.71000 |
| 50.0% | 0.70000 |
| 61.8% | 0.70000 |
| 78.6% | 0.69000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.68000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 0.72000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 0.73000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 0.74000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.68000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.67000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.66000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.71000
Stop Loss
0.71000
Take Profit
0.72000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)68%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call68%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread68%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
USD/CAD
Bearish1.37681
+0.01%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (32.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 1.39 opens the door to further downside probing. At 32, the momentum gauge is deeply oversold. Mean-reversion setups become statistically attractive, though confirmation is key. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Bear Call Spread (57%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35000
Resistance1.40000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.39000
50-day SMA1.38000
100-day SMA1.37000
200-day SMA1.38000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 32.1 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.40000 |
| 23.6% | 1.39000 |
| 38.2% | 1.38000 |
| 50.0% | 1.38000 |
| 61.8% | 1.37000 |
| 78.6% | 1.36000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.35000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.41000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.41000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.43000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.35000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.34000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.32000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.38000
Stop Loss
1.38000
Take Profit
1.37000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread57%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)57%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)50%
Sell Naked Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish0.78099
-0.00%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (26.8)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (0.79), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. The 27 RSI reading places the asset in the oversold zone. Watch for a bullish divergence β it would signal the selling wave is exhausting. MACD histogram negative and deepening β the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Bear Call Spread (71%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77000
Resistance0.80000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.79000
50-day SMA0.79000
100-day SMA0.78000
200-day SMA0.79000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 26.8 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 0.80000 |
| 23.6% | 0.80000 |
| 38.2% | 0.79000 |
| 50.0% | 0.79000 |
| 61.8% | 0.78000 |
| 78.6% | 0.77000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.77000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 0.81000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 0.82000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 0.83000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.76000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.76000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.74000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78000
Stop Loss
0.78000
Take Profit
0.77000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread71%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)71%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)64%
Sell Naked Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Analyze central bank rate differential momentum across G10 pairs for carry trade allocation signals.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.