πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

United States Market Post-Market Review

April 15, 202604:30 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Gold (GC)
4,816
-0.18%
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
26,347
+1.35%
S&P 500 (ES)
7,057
+0.75%
Silver (SI)
79.27
-0.15%
Dow Jones (DJI)
48,464
-0.15%
Crude Oil (CL)
91.20
-0.09%
Natural Gas (NG)
2.61
+0.38%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.2% Moderate
Gold (GC)
Bullish
4,816
-0.18%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (63.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 4,645 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. The 63 RSI reading is comfortably above the midline β€” momentum aligns with the directional thesis. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β€” histogram expanding above the zero line. Heavy turnover at 10.2x average signals that the smart money is actively positioning. Conviction trade.
Support / Resistance
Support4,101
Resistance5,405
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,662
50-day SMA4,897
100-day SMA4,678
200-day SMA4,173
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 63.4 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)5,405
23.6%5,097
38.2%4,907
50.0%4,753
61.8%4,599
78.6%4,380
Low (100.0%)4,101
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)5,575
Ext 1.272 (Up)5,760
Ext 1.618 (Up)6,211
Ext 1.13 (Dn)3,931
Ext 1.272 (Dn)3,746
Ext 1.618 (Dn)3,295
Trade Setup
Entry
4,816
Stop Loss
4,743
Take Profit
4,964
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor57%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread57%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Double Calendar57%
OTM Put Calendar + OTM Call Calendar
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Strong Bullish
26,347
+1.35%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (72.3)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 24,545 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. At 72 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. On the MACD front, the histogram is positive and the fast line sits above the signal line β€” textbook bullish configuration. The model's top pick is Short Put (Cash-Secured) (77%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support22,962
Resistance26,378
Moving Averages
21-day SMA24,557
50-day SMA24,790
100-day SMA25,155
200-day SMA24,688
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 72.3 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong upward strength but risk of reversion.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)26,378
23.6%25,571
38.2%25,073
50.0%24,670
61.8%24,266
78.6%23,693
Low (100.0%)22,962
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)26,822
Ext 1.272 (Up)27,307
Ext 1.618 (Up)28,489
Ext 1.13 (Dn)22,517
Ext 1.272 (Dn)22,032
Ext 1.618 (Dn)20,850
Trade Setup
Entry
26,347
Stop Loss
26,003
Take Profit
27,035
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)77%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call77%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread77%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
S&P 500 (ES)
Strong Bullish
7,057
+0.75%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (72.2)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The short-term moving average at 6,684 holds as support, keeping the 20-day trend channel intact for now. At 72 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. Momentum confirmation from MACD β€” the signal line crossover is bullish and the histogram continues to expand. Strategy selection converges on Short Put (Cash-Secured) (77%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support6,353
Resistance7,064
Moving Averages
21-day SMA6,686
50-day SMA6,785
100-day SMA6,838
200-day SMA6,703
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 72.2 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong upward strength but risk of reversion.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)7,064
23.6%6,897
38.2%6,793
50.0%6,709
61.8%6,625
78.6%6,505
Low (100.0%)6,353
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)7,157
Ext 1.272 (Up)7,258
Ext 1.618 (Up)7,504
Ext 1.13 (Dn)6,261
Ext 1.272 (Dn)6,160
Ext 1.618 (Dn)5,914
Trade Setup
Entry
7,057
Stop Loss
6,983
Take Profit
7,206
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)77%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call77%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread77%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
Silver (SI)
Strong Bullish
79.27
-0.15%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (63.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The short-term moving average at 73.28 holds as support, keeping the 20-day trend channel intact for now. With RSI at 63, the momentum profile supports continued upside. The oscillator has headroom before overbought levels trigger caution. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. Volume prints 18.8x above the 20-day average β€” institutional conviction backs the move.
Support / Resistance
Support61.09
Resistance95.86
Moving Averages
21-day SMA73.57
50-day SMA78.87
100-day SMA76.10
200-day SMA59.44
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 63.2 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)95.86
23.6%87.65
38.2%82.58
50.0%78.48
61.8%74.37
78.6%68.53
Low (100.0%)61.09
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)100
Ext 1.272 (Up)105
Ext 1.618 (Up)117
Ext 1.13 (Dn)56.57
Ext 1.272 (Dn)51.63
Ext 1.618 (Dn)39.60
Trade Setup
Entry
79.27
Stop Loss
77.27
Take Profit
83.26
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)66%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call66%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread66%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
Dow Jones (DJI)
Strong Bullish
48,464
-0.15%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (68.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price anchored above the 20-day moving average (46,741), the short-term trend channel favours continuation higher. Momentum is overheated at 68. While trend can override oscillators, the statistical edge for fresh longs is diminished. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β€” histogram expanding above the zero line. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Short Put (Cash-Secured) as the highest-conviction play at 71%.
Support / Resistance
Support45,057
Resistance50,513
Moving Averages
21-day SMA46,753
50-day SMA47,956
100-day SMA48,154
200-day SMA46,917
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 68.4 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)50,513
23.6%49,225
38.2%48,429
50.0%47,785
61.8%47,141
78.6%46,225
Low (100.0%)45,057
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)51,222
Ext 1.272 (Up)51,997
Ext 1.618 (Up)53,884
Ext 1.13 (Dn)44,348
Ext 1.272 (Dn)43,573
Ext 1.618 (Dn)41,686
Trade Setup
Entry
48,464
Stop Loss
48,059
Take Profit
49,274
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)71%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call71%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread71%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
Crude Oil (CL)
Bearish
91.20
-0.09%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (50.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (98.37) flips the near-term structure bearish β€” the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. The oscillator at 51 reflects sustained buying interest β€” bulls control the momentum channel. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. Thin participation (0.6x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support61.12
Resistance119
Moving Averages
21-day SMA98.27
50-day SMA83.46
100-day SMA71.24
200-day SMA67.25
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 50.7 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)119
23.6%106
38.2%97.19
50.0%90.30
61.8%83.41
78.6%73.61
Low (100.0%)61.12
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)127
Ext 1.272 (Up)135
Ext 1.618 (Up)156
Ext 1.13 (Dn)53.53
Ext 1.272 (Dn)45.25
Ext 1.618 (Dn)25.05
Trade Setup
Entry
91.20
Stop Loss
96.56
Take Profit
80.48
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread61%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Iron Condor61%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread61%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Natural Gas (NG)
Strong Bearish
2.61
+0.38%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (28.3)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 2.86 opens the door to further downside probing. RSI at 28 signals oversold conditions β€” the selling may be exhausted, creating a mean-reversion setup. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The model's top pick is Bear Call Spread (77%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support2.56
Resistance3.66
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2.87
50-day SMA3.01
100-day SMA3.68
200-day SMA3.49
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 28.3 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)3.66
23.6%3.40
38.2%3.24
50.0%3.11
61.8%2.98
78.6%2.80
Low (100.0%)2.56
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)3.80
Ext 1.272 (Up)3.96
Ext 1.618 (Up)4.34
Ext 1.13 (Dn)2.42
Ext 1.272 (Dn)2.26
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.88
Trade Setup
Entry
2.61
Stop Loss
2.68
Take Profit
2.46
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread77%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)77%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)70%
Sell Naked Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Analyze VIX term structure (contango vs backwardation) to assess whether hedging demand supports directional or premium-selling strategies.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.