π Originally published at shunya.trade β View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Forex Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.9% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish1.17805
-0.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (84.9)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 1.16 continues to act as dynamic support β price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. RSI has climbed to 85, putting the tape in overbought territory. New directional longs carry elevated reversal risk. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β histogram expanding above the zero line. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Call as the highest-conviction play at 63%.
Support / Resistance
Support1.14000
Resistance1.18000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.16000
50-day SMA1.16000
100-day SMA1.17000
200-day SMA1.17000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 84.9 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.18000 |
| 23.6% | 1.17000 |
| 38.2% | 1.16000 |
| 50.0% | 1.16000 |
| 61.8% | 1.15000 |
| 78.6% | 1.15000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.14000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.19000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.20000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.21000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.13000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.12000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.11000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.18000
Stop Loss
1.17000
Take Profit
1.19000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish1.35256
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (80.6)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 1.34 continues to act as dynamic support β price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. At 81 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. Momentum confirmation from MACD β the signal line crossover is bullish and the histogram continues to expand. The scoring engine flags Long Call with a 63% conviction score β the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31000
Resistance1.36000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34000
50-day SMA1.34000
100-day SMA1.35000
200-day SMA1.34000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 80.6 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.36000 |
| 23.6% | 1.35000 |
| 38.2% | 1.34000 |
| 50.0% | 1.34000 |
| 61.8% | 1.33000 |
| 78.6% | 1.32000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.31000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.37000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.37000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.39000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.31000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.30000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.29000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.35000
Stop Loss
1.35000
Take Profit
1.36000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/JPY
Neutral159.216
+0.04%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (43.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (159), shifting short-term structure to defensive. Momentum at 44 reflects a tape under pressure. Bulls need to push the oscillator back above 50 to shift the narrative. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. The model's top pick is Iron Condor (60%) β the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support155.360
Resistance160.560
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.390
50-day SMA158.840
100-day SMA157.340
200-day SMA155.340
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 43.8 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 160.560 |
| 23.6% | 159.330 |
| 38.2% | 158.570 |
| 50.0% | 157.960 |
| 61.8% | 157.340 |
| 78.6% | 156.470 |
| Low (100.0%) | 155.360 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 161.240 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 161.980 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 163.780 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 154.680 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 153.940 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 152.140 |
Trade Setup
Entry
159.220
Stop Loss
158.890
Take Profit
159.880
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor60%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread60%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread60%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish0.71636
+0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (82.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 0.70 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. At 82 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. On the MACD front, the histogram is positive and the fast line sits above the signal line β textbook bullish configuration. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Long Call (66%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68000
Resistance0.72000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70000
50-day SMA0.70000
100-day SMA0.70000
200-day SMA0.68000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 82.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 0.72000 |
| 23.6% | 0.71000 |
| 38.2% | 0.71000 |
| 50.0% | 0.70000 |
| 61.8% | 0.70000 |
| 78.6% | 0.69000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.68000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 0.72000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 0.73000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 0.74000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.68000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.67000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.66000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.72000
Stop Loss
0.71000
Take Profit
0.72000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call66%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread66%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)63%
Sell OTM Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish1.37054
+0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (13.3)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (1.39), shifting short-term structure to defensive. The 13 RSI print suggests aggressive selling has run its course β buyers may attempt to step in near support. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. The structured approach identifies Long Put at 66% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35000
Resistance1.40000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.39000
50-day SMA1.38000
100-day SMA1.37000
200-day SMA1.38000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 13.3 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.40000 |
| 23.6% | 1.39000 |
| 38.2% | 1.38000 |
| 50.0% | 1.38000 |
| 61.8% | 1.37000 |
| 78.6% | 1.36000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.35000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.41000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.41000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.43000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.35000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.34000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.32000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.37000
Stop Loss
1.37000
Take Profit
1.36000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put66%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread66%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread63%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish0.78356
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (16.0)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (0.79) flips the near-term structure bearish β the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. Momentum oscillator at 16 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. Momentum confirmation is bearish β MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Long Put leads the strategy table at 63% β directional bias and vol regime both align.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77000
Resistance0.80000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.79000
50-day SMA0.79000
100-day SMA0.78000
200-day SMA0.79000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 16.0 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 0.80000 |
| 23.6% | 0.80000 |
| 38.2% | 0.79000 |
| 50.0% | 0.79000 |
| 61.8% | 0.78000 |
| 78.6% | 0.77000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.77000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 0.81000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 0.82000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 0.83000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.76000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.76000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.74000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78000
Stop Loss
0.79000
Take Profit
0.78000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Cross-reference DXY technical levels with CFTC commitment of traders positioning for medium-term directional bias in major pairs.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.