📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
MOEX Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.6% Moderate
MOEX Index (IMOEX)
Strong Bearish3,216
+1.39%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Neutral
Monthly
Neutral
RSI (33.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 3,290 opens the door to further downside probing. At 33, the momentum gauge is deeply oversold. Mean-reversion setups become statistically attractive, though confirmation is key. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Strategy selection converges on Long Put (58%) — the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support3,032
Resistance3,522
Moving Averages
21-day SMA3,300
50-day SMA3,374
100-day SMA3,374
200-day SMA3,374
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 33.0 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 3,522 |
| 23.6% | 3,406 |
| 38.2% | 3,335 |
| 50.0% | 3,277 |
| 61.8% | 3,219 |
| 78.6% | 3,137 |
| Low (100.0%) | 3,032 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 3,585 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 3,655 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 3,824 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 2,968 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 2,899 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 2,729 |
Trade Setup
Entry
3,216
Stop Loss
3,260
Take Profit
3,128
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put58%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread55%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track MOEX-RTS spread against crude oil correlation for commodity-driven sector rotation within the Moscow Exchange.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.