πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

April 17, 202609:16 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.17713
+0.06%
GBP/USD
1.35213
+0.02%
USD/JPY
158.609
-0.01%
AUD/USD
0.71718
+0.04%
USD/CAD
1.37066
+0.11%
USD/CHF
0.78186
+0.01%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.5% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish
1.17713
+0.06%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (81.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (1.17). At 82 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. On the MACD front, the histogram is positive and the fast line sits above the signal line β€” textbook bullish configuration. The model's top pick is Long Call (63%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support1.14000
Resistance1.18000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.16000
50-day SMA1.16000
100-day SMA1.17000
200-day SMA1.17000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 81.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.18000
23.6%1.17000
38.2%1.17000
50.0%1.16000
61.8%1.15000
78.6%1.15000
Low (100.0%)1.14000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.19000
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.20000
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.22000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.13000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.12000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.10000
Trade Setup
Entry
1.18000
Stop Loss
1.17000
Take Profit
1.19000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish
1.35213
+0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (79.2)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price holds above the 20-day moving average at 1.34, preserving the near-term bullish structure. At 79 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. Momentum confirmation from MACD β€” the signal line crossover is bullish and the histogram continues to expand. The structured approach identifies Long Call at 63% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31000
Resistance1.36000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34000
50-day SMA1.34000
100-day SMA1.35000
200-day SMA1.34000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 79.2 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.36000
23.6%1.35000
38.2%1.34000
50.0%1.34000
61.8%1.33000
78.6%1.32000
Low (100.0%)1.31000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.37000
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.37000
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.39000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.31000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.30000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.29000
Trade Setup
Entry
1.35000
Stop Loss
1.35000
Take Profit
1.36000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/JPY
Strong Bearish
158.609
-0.01%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (36.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day average at 159 has failed as support, transitioning into resistance. Price must reclaim it to neutralize the bearish signal. With RSI at 37, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Put as the highest-conviction play at 63%.
Support / Resistance
Support155.360
Resistance160.560
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.280
50-day SMA158.880
100-day SMA157.350
200-day SMA155.400
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 36.8 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)160.560
23.6%159.330
38.2%158.570
50.0%157.960
61.8%157.340
78.6%156.470
Low (100.0%)155.360
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)161.240
Ext 1.272 (Up)161.980
Ext 1.618 (Up)163.780
Ext 1.13 (Dn)154.680
Ext 1.272 (Dn)153.940
Ext 1.618 (Dn)152.140
Trade Setup
Entry
158.610
Stop Loss
159.090
Take Profit
157.660
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish
0.71718
+0.04%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (82.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (0.70) remains unbroken on the downside β€” bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. At 82 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend. The scoring engine flags Long Call with a 66% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68000
Resistance0.72000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70000
50-day SMA0.70000
100-day SMA0.70000
200-day SMA0.68000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 82.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.72000
23.6%0.71000
38.2%0.71000
50.0%0.70000
61.8%0.70000
78.6%0.69000
Low (100.0%)0.68000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.73000
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.73000
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.75000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.68000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.67000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.66000
Trade Setup
Entry
0.72000
Stop Loss
0.71000
Take Profit
0.72000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call66%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread66%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)63%
Sell OTM Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish
1.37066
+0.11%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (16.2)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Sellers have pushed through the 20-day average (1.38), signaling a deterioration in near-term structure. With the RSI reading at 16, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The model's top pick is Long Put (63%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35000
Resistance1.40000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.38000
50-day SMA1.38000
100-day SMA1.37000
200-day SMA1.38000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 16.2 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.40000
23.6%1.39000
38.2%1.38000
50.0%1.38000
61.8%1.37000
78.6%1.36000
Low (100.0%)1.35000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.41000
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.41000
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.43000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.35000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.34000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.32000
Trade Setup
Entry
1.37000
Stop Loss
1.37000
Take Profit
1.36000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish
0.78186
+0.01%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (16.0)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (0.79), shifting short-term structure to defensive. Oversold at 16 β€” the tape has absorbed significant selling pressure. Defined-risk reversal plays gain merit. MACD histogram negative and deepening β€” the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Across the full 31-strategy universe, Long Put captures the highest score at 63%. Alignment across trend, momentum, and vol regime drives the ranking.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77000
Resistance0.80000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.79000
50-day SMA0.79000
100-day SMA0.78000
200-day SMA0.79000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 16.0 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.80000
23.6%0.80000
38.2%0.79000
50.0%0.79000
61.8%0.78000
78.6%0.77000
Low (100.0%)0.77000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.81000
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.82000
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.83000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.76000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.76000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.74000
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78000
Stop Loss
0.78000
Take Profit
0.78000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
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Key Takeaway
Track real yield differentials alongside forward rate expectations for macro-driven currency pair selection.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.