📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Forex Market Pre-Market Analysis
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.5% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish1.17337
-0.07%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (73.0)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (1.17) remains unbroken on the downside — bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. RSI has climbed to 73, putting the tape in overbought territory. New directional longs carry elevated reversal risk. MACD histogram prints positive, confirming the bullish impulse leg is intact. Strategy selection converges on Long Call (58%) — the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support1.14000
Resistance1.18000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.17000
50-day SMA1.16000
100-day SMA1.17000
200-day SMA1.17000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 73.0 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.18000 |
| 23.6% | 1.17000 |
| 38.2% | 1.17000 |
| 50.0% | 1.16000 |
| 61.8% | 1.15000 |
| 78.6% | 1.15000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.14000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.19000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.20000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.22000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.13000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.12000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.10000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.17000
Stop Loss
1.17000
Take Profit
1.18000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call58%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)55%
Sell OTM Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish1.34888
-0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (74.2)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price holds above the 20-day moving average at 1.34, preserving the near-term bullish structure. With RSI at 74, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. The convergence-divergence oscillator prints a bullish signal. Histogram expansion above zero validates the upside move. The model's top pick is Long Call (58%) — the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31000
Resistance1.36000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34000
50-day SMA1.34000
100-day SMA1.35000
200-day SMA1.34000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 74.2 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.36000 |
| 23.6% | 1.35000 |
| 38.2% | 1.34000 |
| 50.0% | 1.34000 |
| 61.8% | 1.33000 |
| 78.6% | 1.32000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.31000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.37000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.37000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.39000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.31000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.30000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.29000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.35000
Stop Loss
1.34000
Take Profit
1.36000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call58%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)55%
Sell OTM Put
USD/JPY
Bearish158.848
+0.04%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (39.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (159). With RSI at 40, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Long Put (52%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support155.750
Resistance160.560
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.170
50-day SMA158.990
100-day SMA157.370
200-day SMA155.510
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 39.9 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 160.560 |
| 23.6% | 159.420 |
| 38.2% | 158.720 |
| 50.0% | 158.150 |
| 61.8% | 157.590 |
| 78.6% | 156.780 |
| Low (100.0%) | 155.750 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 161.190 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 161.870 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 163.530 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 155.120 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 154.440 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 152.770 |
Trade Setup
Entry
158.850
Stop Loss
159.350
Take Profit
157.850
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put52%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread52%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread49%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish0.71251
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (73.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (0.70) remains unbroken on the downside — bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. At 73 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case — histogram expanding above the zero line. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Call as the highest-conviction play at 63%.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68000
Resistance0.72000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70000
50-day SMA0.70000
100-day SMA0.70000
200-day SMA0.68000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 73.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 0.72000 |
| 23.6% | 0.71000 |
| 38.2% | 0.71000 |
| 50.0% | 0.70000 |
| 61.8% | 0.70000 |
| 78.6% | 0.69000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.68000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 0.73000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 0.73000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 0.75000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.68000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.67000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.66000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.71000
Stop Loss
0.71000
Take Profit
0.72000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish1.36927
+0.06%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (22.3)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (1.38). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. At 22, the momentum gauge is deeply oversold. Mean-reversion setups become statistically attractive, though confirmation is key. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift. Strategy selection converges on Long Put (63%) — the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35000
Resistance1.40000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.38000
50-day SMA1.38000
100-day SMA1.37000
200-day SMA1.38000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 22.3 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.40000 |
| 23.6% | 1.39000 |
| 38.2% | 1.38000 |
| 50.0% | 1.38000 |
| 61.8% | 1.37000 |
| 78.6% | 1.36000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.35000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.41000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.41000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.43000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.35000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.34000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.32000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.37000
Stop Loss
1.37000
Take Profit
1.36000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish0.78190
+0.03%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (18.1)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day moving average at 0.79 now acts as overhead resistance — bears have reclaimed near-term control. Oversold at 18 — the tape has absorbed significant selling pressure. Defined-risk reversal plays gain merit. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Long Put leads the strategy table at 63% — directional bias and vol regime both align.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77000
Resistance0.80000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.79000
50-day SMA0.79000
100-day SMA0.78000
200-day SMA0.79000
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) — Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 18.1 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 0.80000 |
| 23.6% | 0.80000 |
| 38.2% | 0.79000 |
| 50.0% | 0.79000 |
| 61.8% | 0.78000 |
| 78.6% | 0.77000 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.77000 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 0.81000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 0.82000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 0.83000 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.76000 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.76000 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.74000 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78000
Stop Loss
0.78000
Take Profit
0.78000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.