πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

April 20, 202609:16 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.17856
-0.02%
GBP/USD
1.35338
-0.00%
USD/JPY
158.789
-0.02%
AUD/USD
0.71766
-0.03%
USD/CAD
1.36458
+0.01%
USD/CHF
0.77849
+0.01%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.9% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish
1.17856
-0.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (73.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Trading above the 20-day SMA (1.17), the asset maintains its bullish price structure β€” dip-buying remains the high-probability play. Momentum oscillator at 73 enters overbought territory β€” the tape is stretched and vulnerable to profit-taking. The MACD reading adds conviction to the long thesis β€” positive and expanding histogram with a bullish signal-line cross. The model's top pick is Long Call (63%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13515
Resistance1.18488
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.16813
50-day SMA1.16037
100-day SMA1.16988
200-day SMA1.16776
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 73.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.18488
23.6%1.17314
38.2%1.16588
50.0%1.16002
61.8%1.15415
78.6%1.14579
Low (100.0%)1.13515
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.19134
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.19841
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.21561
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.12869
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.12162
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.10442
Trade Setup
Entry
1.17856
Stop Loss
1.17502
Take Profit
1.18564
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish
1.35338
-0.00%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (73.8)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (1.34), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. The momentum gauge prints 74 β€” historically, readings above 65 precede short-term retracements in this name. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. The scoring engine flags Long Call with a 63% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31381
Resistance1.35983
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34086
50-day SMA1.33639
100-day SMA1.34627
200-day SMA1.33994
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 73.8 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.35983
23.6%1.34897
38.2%1.34225
50.0%1.33682
61.8%1.33139
78.6%1.32366
Low (100.0%)1.31381
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.36581
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.37235
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.38827
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.30783
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.30129
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.28537
Trade Setup
Entry
1.35338
Stop Loss
1.34894
Take Profit
1.36227
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/JPY
Strong Bearish
158.789
-0.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (39.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (159), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. Momentum at 40 reflects a tape under pressure. Bulls need to push the oscillator back above 50 to shift the narrative. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Long Put (63%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support156.468
Resistance160.561
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.171
50-day SMA159.024
100-day SMA157.379
200-day SMA155.565
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 39.9 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)160.561
23.6%159.595
38.2%158.997
50.0%158.514
61.8%158.031
78.6%157.344
Low (100.0%)156.468
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)161.093
Ext 1.272 (Up)161.674
Ext 1.618 (Up)163.090
Ext 1.13 (Dn)155.936
Ext 1.272 (Dn)155.355
Ext 1.618 (Dn)153.939
Trade Setup
Entry
158.789
Stop Loss
159.290
Take Profit
157.787
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish
0.71766
-0.03%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (73.0)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 0.71 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. With RSI at 73, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. Across the full 31-strategy universe, Long Call captures the highest score at 63%. Alignment across trend, momentum, and vol regime drives the ranking.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68347
Resistance0.72208
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70504
50-day SMA0.70226
100-day SMA0.69934
200-day SMA0.67877
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 73.0 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.72208
23.6%0.71297
38.2%0.70733
50.0%0.70278
61.8%0.69822
78.6%0.69173
Low (100.0%)0.68347
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.72710
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.73258
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.74594
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.67845
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.67297
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.65961
Trade Setup
Entry
0.71766
Stop Loss
0.71416
Take Profit
0.72466
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish
1.36458
+0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (20.0)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 1.38 opens the door to further downside probing. RSI has collapsed to 20, indicating capitulation-grade selling. Contrarian risk/reward is compelling if support holds. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The model's top pick is Long Put (63%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35257
Resistance1.39919
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.38114
50-day SMA1.37600
100-day SMA1.37284
200-day SMA1.38237
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 20.0 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.39919
23.6%1.38819
38.2%1.38138
50.0%1.37588
61.8%1.37038
78.6%1.36255
Low (100.0%)1.35257
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.40525
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.41187
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.42800
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.34651
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.33989
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.32376
Trade Setup
Entry
1.36458
Stop Loss
1.36835
Take Profit
1.35705
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish
0.77849
+0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (15.8)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Sellers have pushed through the 20-day average (0.79), signaling a deterioration in near-term structure. RSI at 16 signals oversold conditions β€” the selling may be exhausted, creating a mean-reversion setup. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The model's top pick is Long Put (63%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77488
Resistance0.80483
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.78922
50-day SMA0.78854
100-day SMA0.78355
200-day SMA0.79090
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 15.8 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.80483
23.6%0.79776
38.2%0.79339
50.0%0.78985
61.8%0.78632
78.6%0.78129
Low (100.0%)0.77488
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.80872
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.81298
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.82334
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.77099
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.76673
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.75637
Trade Setup
Entry
0.77849
Stop Loss
0.78161
Take Profit
0.77224
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Cross-reference DXY technical levels with CFTC commitment of traders positioning for medium-term directional bias in major pairs.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.