π Originally published at shunya.trade β View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
United States Market Pre-Market Analysis
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
19.2% Moderate
Gold (GC)
Bullish4,826
-0.64%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (68.6)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The short-term moving average at 4,664 holds as support, keeping the 20-day trend channel intact for now. Momentum is overheated at 69. While trend can override oscillators, the statistical edge for fresh longs is diminished. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β histogram expanding above the zero line. Elevated volume (8.6x average) validates the current price action β the move has sponsorship.
Support / Resistance
Support4,101
Resistance5,405
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,660
50-day SMA4,893
100-day SMA4,700
200-day SMA4,195
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 68.6 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 5,405 |
| 23.6% | 5,097 |
| 38.2% | 4,907 |
| 50.0% | 4,753 |
| 61.8% | 4,599 |
| 78.6% | 4,380 |
| Low (100.0%) | 4,101 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 5,575 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 5,760 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 6,211 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 3,931 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 3,746 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 3,295 |
Trade Setup
Entry
4,826
Stop Loss
4,763
Take Profit
4,952
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call55%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread55%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)52%
Sell OTM Put
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Strong Bullish26,754
-0.27%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (98.1)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 24,894 continues to act as dynamic support β price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. With RSI at 98, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. On the MACD front, the histogram is positive and the fast line sits above the signal line β textbook bullish configuration. Low-conviction tape β volume at 0.2x average means the move lacks the sponsorship for sustained follow-through.
Support / Resistance
Support22,962
Resistance26,885
Moving Averages
21-day SMA24,866
50-day SMA24,890
100-day SMA25,224
200-day SMA24,746
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 98.1 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 26,885 |
| 23.6% | 25,959 |
| 38.2% | 25,386 |
| 50.0% | 24,923 |
| 61.8% | 24,460 |
| 78.6% | 23,801 |
| Low (100.0%) | 22,962 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 27,395 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 27,952 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 29,309 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 22,451 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 21,894 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 20,537 |
Trade Setup
Entry
26,754
Stop Loss
26,449
Take Profit
27,363
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call72%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)69%
Sell OTM Put
S&P 500 (ES)
Strong Bullish7,138
-0.32%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (96.2)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 6,762 continues to act as dynamic support β price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. The momentum gauge prints 96 β historically, readings above 65 precede short-term retracements in this name. MACD histogram prints positive, confirming the bullish impulse leg is intact. Thin participation (0.1x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support6,353
Resistance7,186
Moving Averages
21-day SMA6,754
50-day SMA6,800
100-day SMA6,853
200-day SMA6,715
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 96.2 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 7,186 |
| 23.6% | 6,989 |
| 38.2% | 6,868 |
| 50.0% | 6,770 |
| 61.8% | 6,671 |
| 78.6% | 6,531 |
| Low (100.0%) | 6,353 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 7,294 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 7,412 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 7,700 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 6,245 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 6,127 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 5,839 |
Trade Setup
Entry
7,138
Stop Loss
7,073
Take Profit
7,269
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call72%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)69%
Sell OTM Put
Silver (SI)
Strong Bullish79.65
-2.55%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (68.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (74.41), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. Momentum oscillator at 69 enters overbought territory β the tape is stretched and vulnerable to profit-taking. The MACD reading adds conviction to the long thesis β positive and expanding histogram with a bullish signal-line cross. Volume prints 16.8x above the 20-day average β institutional conviction backs the move.
Support / Resistance
Support61.09
Resistance95.86
Moving Averages
21-day SMA74.17
50-day SMA78.80
100-day SMA77.00
200-day SMA60.10
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 68.7 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 95.86 |
| 23.6% | 87.65 |
| 38.2% | 82.58 |
| 50.0% | 78.48 |
| 61.8% | 74.37 |
| 78.6% | 68.53 |
| Low (100.0%) | 61.09 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 100 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 105 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 117 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 56.57 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 51.63 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 39.60 |
Trade Setup
Entry
79.65
Stop Loss
77.82
Take Profit
83.30
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call72%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)69%
Sell OTM Put
Dow Jones (DJI)
Strong Bullish49,447
+1.79%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (90.7)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Buyers defend the 20-day SMA at 47,030 β the near-term trend structure remains intact. The 91 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Long Call (72%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support45,057
Resistance50,513
Moving Averages
21-day SMA46,982
50-day SMA47,941
100-day SMA48,216
200-day SMA46,964
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 90.7 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 50,513 |
| 23.6% | 49,225 |
| 38.2% | 48,429 |
| 50.0% | 47,785 |
| 61.8% | 47,141 |
| 78.6% | 46,225 |
| Low (100.0%) | 45,057 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 51,222 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 51,997 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 53,884 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 44,348 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 43,573 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 41,686 |
Trade Setup
Entry
49,447
Stop Loss
49,044
Take Profit
50,254
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call72%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)69%
Sell OTM Put
Crude Oil (CL)
Strong Bearish86.93
+3.67%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (38.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day moving average at 97.11 now acts as overhead resistance β bears have reclaimed near-term control. RSI at 38 lingers below the midline β momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Low-conviction tape β volume at 0.4x average means the move lacks the sponsorship for sustained follow-through.
Support / Resistance
Support61.87
Resistance119
Moving Averages
21-day SMA97.17
50-day SMA84.94
100-day SMA72.13
200-day SMA67.58
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 38.0 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 119 |
| 23.6% | 106 |
| 38.2% | 97.47 |
| 50.0% | 90.68 |
| 61.8% | 83.88 |
| 78.6% | 74.20 |
| Low (100.0%) | 61.87 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 127 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 135 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 155 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 54.38 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 46.20 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 26.27 |
Trade Setup
Entry
86.93
Stop Loss
92.45
Take Profit
75.88
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put61%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread61%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread58%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Natural Gas (NG)
Bearish2.73
+1.94%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (35.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 2.79 opens the door to further downside probing. The 35 reading on the momentum gauge signals persistent softness. Sellers maintain the edge until a reclaim of the 50-line. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β histogram expanding above the zero line. Volume registers below average β the move lacks broad participation and is susceptible to reversal.
Support / Resistance
Support2.56
Resistance3.66
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2.81
50-day SMA2.96
100-day SMA3.62
200-day SMA3.48
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 35.5 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 3.66 |
| 23.6% | 3.40 |
| 38.2% | 3.24 |
| 50.0% | 3.11 |
| 61.8% | 2.98 |
| 78.6% | 2.80 |
| Low (100.0%) | 2.56 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 3.80 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 3.96 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 4.34 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 2.42 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 2.26 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.88 |
Trade Setup
Entry
2.73
Stop Loss
2.79
Take Profit
2.60
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Call46%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread46%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)43%
Sell OTM Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor US Treasury yields and Dollar Index correlation for cross-asset momentum signals.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.