πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

April 21, 202609:16 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.17440
+0.00%
GBP/USD
1.35030
-0.04%
USD/JPY
159.344
-0.03%
AUD/USD
0.71527
-0.02%
USD/CAD
1.36644
+0.02%
USD/CHF
0.78081
+0.00%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
19.5% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish
1.17440
+0.00%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (60.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Buyers defend the 20-day SMA at 1.17 β€” the near-term trend structure remains intact. With RSI at 61, the momentum profile supports continued upside. The oscillator has headroom before overbought levels trigger caution. On the MACD front, the histogram is positive and the fast line sits above the signal line β€” textbook bullish configuration. The structured approach identifies Long Call at 58% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13515
Resistance1.18488
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.16869
50-day SMA1.16055
100-day SMA1.16991
200-day SMA1.16772
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 60.8 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.18488
23.6%1.17314
38.2%1.16588
50.0%1.16002
61.8%1.15415
78.6%1.14579
Low (100.0%)1.13515
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.19134
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.19841
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.21561
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.12869
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.12162
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.10442
Trade Setup
Entry
1.17440
Stop Loss
1.17105
Take Profit
1.18110
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call58%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)55%
Sell OTM Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish
1.35030
-0.04%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (62.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 1.34 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. Momentum at 62 is in the sweet spot: bullish enough to confirm direction, not so extended as to warrant caution. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend. The structured approach identifies Long Call at 63% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31381
Resistance1.35983
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34170
50-day SMA1.33663
100-day SMA1.34628
200-day SMA1.33990
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 62.4 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.35983
23.6%1.34897
38.2%1.34225
50.0%1.33682
61.8%1.33139
78.6%1.32366
Low (100.0%)1.31381
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.36581
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.37235
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.38827
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.30783
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.30129
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.28537
Trade Setup
Entry
1.35030
Stop Loss
1.34641
Take Profit
1.35808
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/JPY
Neutral
159.344
-0.03%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (60.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 159 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. RSI at 60 holds above the 50-line, confirming the bullish directional bias without yet reaching overbought extremes. Momentum confirmation is bearish β€” MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Iron Condor as the highest-conviction play at 52%.
Support / Resistance
Support156.468
Resistance160.561
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.221
50-day SMA159.070
100-day SMA157.397
200-day SMA155.628
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 60.4 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)160.561
23.6%159.595
38.2%158.997
50.0%158.514
61.8%158.031
78.6%157.344
Low (100.0%)156.468
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)161.093
Ext 1.272 (Up)161.674
Ext 1.618 (Up)163.090
Ext 1.13 (Dn)155.936
Ext 1.272 (Dn)155.355
Ext 1.618 (Dn)153.939
Trade Setup
Entry
159.344
Stop Loss
158.956
Take Profit
160.119
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor52%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread52%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread52%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish
0.71527
-0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (63.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (0.71), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. The oscillator at 64 reflects sustained buying interest β€” bulls control the momentum channel. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β€” histogram expanding above the zero line. The scoring engine flags Long Call with a 63% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68347
Resistance0.72208
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70602
50-day SMA0.70243
100-day SMA0.69976
200-day SMA0.67902
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 63.9 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.72208
23.6%0.71297
38.2%0.70733
50.0%0.70278
61.8%0.69822
78.6%0.69173
Low (100.0%)0.68347
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.72710
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.73258
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.74594
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.67845
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.67297
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.65961
Trade Setup
Entry
0.71527
Stop Loss
0.71202
Take Profit
0.72176
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish
1.36644
+0.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (26.1)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (1.38), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. The 26 RSI reading places the asset in the oversold zone. Watch for a bullish divergence β€” it would signal the selling wave is exhausting. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Put as the highest-conviction play at 63%.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35257
Resistance1.39919
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.38017
50-day SMA1.37602
100-day SMA1.37265
200-day SMA1.38232
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 26.1 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.39919
23.6%1.38819
38.2%1.38138
50.0%1.37588
61.8%1.37038
78.6%1.36255
Low (100.0%)1.35257
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.40525
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.41187
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.42800
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.34651
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.33989
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.32376
Trade Setup
Entry
1.36644
Stop Loss
1.37010
Take Profit
1.35912
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish
0.78081
+0.00%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (28.1)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (0.79). The 28 RSI print suggests aggressive selling has run its course β€” buyers may attempt to step in near support. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Strategy selection converges on Long Put (63%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77488
Resistance0.80483
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.78867
50-day SMA0.78857
100-day SMA0.78341
200-day SMA0.79088
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 28.1 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.80483
23.6%0.79776
38.2%0.79339
50.0%0.78985
61.8%0.78632
78.6%0.78129
Low (100.0%)0.77488
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.80872
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.81298
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.82334
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.77099
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.76673
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.75637
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78081
Stop Loss
0.78361
Take Profit
0.77521
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track real yield differentials alongside forward rate expectations for macro-driven currency pair selection.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.