πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

April 22, 202609:16 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.17057
-0.01%
GBP/USD
1.35039
+0.00%
USD/JPY
159.512
+0.02%
AUD/USD
0.71572
-0.05%
USD/CAD
1.36694
-0.02%
USD/CHF
0.78459
-0.03%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.9% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish
1.17057
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (50.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 1.17 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. The oscillator at 51 reflects sustained buying interest β€” bulls control the momentum channel. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The scoring engine flags Long Call with a 57% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13515
Resistance1.18488
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.16933
50-day SMA1.16060
100-day SMA1.16993
200-day SMA1.16768
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 50.8 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.18488
23.6%1.17314
38.2%1.16588
50.0%1.16002
61.8%1.15415
78.6%1.14579
Low (100.0%)1.13515
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.19134
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.19841
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.21561
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.12869
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.12162
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.10442
Trade Setup
Entry
1.17057
Stop Loss
1.16732
Take Profit
1.17708
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call57%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread57%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)54%
Sell OTM Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish
1.35039
+0.00%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (58.6)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price holds above the 20-day moving average at 1.34, preserving the near-term bullish structure. With RSI at 59, the momentum profile supports continued upside. The oscillator has headroom before overbought levels trigger caution. On the MACD front, the histogram is positive and the fast line sits above the signal line β€” textbook bullish configuration. The structured approach identifies Long Call at 70% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31381
Resistance1.35983
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34304
50-day SMA1.33689
100-day SMA1.34635
200-day SMA1.33991
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 58.6 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.35983
23.6%1.34897
38.2%1.34225
50.0%1.33682
61.8%1.33139
78.6%1.32366
Low (100.0%)1.31381
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.36581
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.37235
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.38827
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.30783
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.30129
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.28537
Trade Setup
Entry
1.35039
Stop Loss
1.34665
Take Profit
1.35786
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call70%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread70%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)67%
Sell OTM Put
USD/JPY
Bullish
159.512
+0.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (57.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price anchored above the 20-day moving average (159), the short-term trend channel favours continuation higher. With RSI at 58, the momentum profile supports continued upside. The oscillator has headroom before overbought levels trigger caution. Momentum confirmation from MACD β€” the signal line crossover is bullish and the histogram continues to expand. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Long Call (59%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support156.468
Resistance160.561
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.220
50-day SMA159.123
100-day SMA157.402
200-day SMA155.694
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 57.7 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)160.561
23.6%159.595
38.2%158.997
50.0%158.514
61.8%158.031
78.6%157.344
Low (100.0%)156.468
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)161.093
Ext 1.272 (Up)161.674
Ext 1.618 (Up)163.090
Ext 1.13 (Dn)155.936
Ext 1.272 (Dn)155.355
Ext 1.618 (Dn)153.939
Trade Setup
Entry
159.512
Stop Loss
159.062
Take Profit
160.412
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call59%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread59%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)56%
Sell OTM Put
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish
0.71572
-0.05%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (60.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 0.71 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. With RSI at 60, the momentum profile supports continued upside. The oscillator has headroom before overbought levels trigger caution. MACD histogram prints positive, confirming the bullish impulse leg is intact. The model's top pick is Long Call (63%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68347
Resistance0.72208
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70725
50-day SMA0.70260
100-day SMA0.70024
200-day SMA0.67931
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 60.2 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.72208
23.6%0.71297
38.2%0.70733
50.0%0.70278
61.8%0.69822
78.6%0.69173
Low (100.0%)0.68347
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.72710
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.73258
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.74594
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.67845
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.67297
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.65961
Trade Setup
Entry
0.71572
Stop Loss
0.71266
Take Profit
0.72184
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish
1.36694
-0.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (29.6)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (1.38), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. Momentum oscillator at 30 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram β€” confirming the bearish momentum shift. Across the full 31-strategy universe, Long Put captures the highest score at 63%. Alignment across trend, momentum, and vol regime drives the ranking.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35257
Resistance1.39919
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.37901
50-day SMA1.37610
100-day SMA1.37244
200-day SMA1.38227
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 29.6 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.39919
23.6%1.38819
38.2%1.38138
50.0%1.37588
61.8%1.37038
78.6%1.36255
Low (100.0%)1.35257
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.40525
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.41187
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.42800
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.34651
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.33989
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.32376
Trade Setup
Entry
1.36694
Stop Loss
1.37049
Take Profit
1.35985
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish
0.78459
-0.03%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (39.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (0.79). At 39, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The scoring engine flags Long Put with a 58% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77488
Resistance0.80483
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.78817
50-day SMA0.78876
100-day SMA0.78329
200-day SMA0.79086
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 39.2 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.80483
23.6%0.79776
38.2%0.79339
50.0%0.78985
61.8%0.78632
78.6%0.78129
Low (100.0%)0.77488
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.80872
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.81298
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.82334
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.77099
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.76673
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.75637
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78459
Stop Loss
0.78746
Take Profit
0.77886
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put58%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread55%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.