πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

April 23, 202609:16 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.16863
+0.03%
GBP/USD
1.34705
+0.03%
USD/JPY
159.626
-0.08%
AUD/USD
0.71289
+0.01%
USD/CAD
1.37046
+0.04%
USD/CHF
0.78582
-0.09%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
19.3% Moderate
EUR/USD
Neutral
1.16863
+0.03%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (44.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 1.17 opens the door to further downside probing. The 45 RSI keeps the momentum profile in bear territory. Rallies are selling opportunities until the 50-line is recaptured. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Iron Condor as the highest-conviction play at 74%.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13515
Resistance1.18488
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.17003
50-day SMA1.16079
100-day SMA1.16996
200-day SMA1.16764
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.8 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.18488
23.6%1.17314
38.2%1.16588
50.0%1.16002
61.8%1.15415
78.6%1.14579
Low (100.0%)1.13515
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.19134
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.19841
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.21561
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.12869
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.12162
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.10442
Trade Setup
Entry
1.16863
Stop Loss
1.16597
Take Profit
1.17395
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor74%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread74%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread74%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish
1.34705
+0.03%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (51.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 1.35 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. Momentum holds constructive at 51 β€” firmly in bullish territory with room to run before the tape gets stretched. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside. Long Call leads the strategy table at 57% β€” directional bias and vol regime both align.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31381
Resistance1.35983
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34418
50-day SMA1.33712
100-day SMA1.34636
200-day SMA1.33990
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 51.0 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.35983
23.6%1.34897
38.2%1.34225
50.0%1.33682
61.8%1.33139
78.6%1.32366
Low (100.0%)1.31381
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.36581
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.37235
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.38827
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.30783
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.30129
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.28537
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34705
Stop Loss
1.34331
Take Profit
1.35454
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call57%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread57%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)54%
Sell OTM Put
USD/JPY
Bullish
159.626
-0.08%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (54.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price holds above the 20-day moving average at 159, preserving the near-term bullish structure. The 55 RSI reading is comfortably above the midline β€” momentum aligns with the directional thesis. MACD histogram prints positive, confirming the bullish impulse leg is intact. The model's top pick is Long Call (59%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support157.280
Resistance160.561
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.230
50-day SMA159.163
100-day SMA157.416
200-day SMA155.759
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 54.8 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)160.561
23.6%159.786
38.2%159.307
50.0%158.920
61.8%158.533
78.6%157.982
Low (100.0%)157.280
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)160.987
Ext 1.272 (Up)161.453
Ext 1.618 (Up)162.588
Ext 1.13 (Dn)156.853
Ext 1.272 (Dn)156.387
Ext 1.618 (Dn)155.252
Trade Setup
Entry
159.626
Stop Loss
159.166
Take Profit
160.545
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call59%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread59%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)56%
Sell OTM Put
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish
0.71289
+0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (58.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (0.71), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. The oscillator at 59 reflects sustained buying interest β€” bulls control the momentum channel. On the MACD front, the histogram is positive and the fast line sits above the signal line β€” textbook bullish configuration. Long Call leads the strategy table at 65% β€” directional bias and vol regime both align.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68347
Resistance0.72208
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70827
50-day SMA0.70284
100-day SMA0.70066
200-day SMA0.67956
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 58.8 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.72208
23.6%0.71297
38.2%0.70733
50.0%0.70278
61.8%0.69822
78.6%0.69173
Low (100.0%)0.68347
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.72710
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.73258
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.74594
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.67845
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.67297
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.65961
Trade Setup
Entry
0.71289
Stop Loss
0.70977
Take Profit
0.71913
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call65%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread65%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)62%
Sell OTM Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish
1.37046
+0.04%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (31.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (1.38) flips the near-term structure bearish β€” the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. With the RSI reading at 31, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Across the full 31-strategy universe, Long Put captures the highest score at 63%. Alignment across trend, momentum, and vol regime drives the ranking.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35257
Resistance1.39919
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.37800
50-day SMA1.37619
100-day SMA1.37230
200-day SMA1.38224
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 31.2 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.39919
23.6%1.38819
38.2%1.38138
50.0%1.37588
61.8%1.37038
78.6%1.36255
Low (100.0%)1.35257
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.40525
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.41187
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.42800
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.34651
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.33989
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.32376
Trade Setup
Entry
1.37046
Stop Loss
1.37408
Take Profit
1.36321
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish
0.78582
-0.09%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (44.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (0.79). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. Momentum at 44 reflects a tape under pressure. Bulls need to push the oscillator back above 50 to shift the narrative. MACD histogram negative and deepening β€” the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Put as the highest-conviction play at 58%.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77488
Resistance0.80483
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.78753
50-day SMA0.78885
100-day SMA0.78317
200-day SMA0.79082
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.1 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.80483
23.6%0.79776
38.2%0.79339
50.0%0.78985
61.8%0.78632
78.6%0.78129
Low (100.0%)0.77488
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.80872
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.81298
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.82334
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.77099
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.76673
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.75637
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78582
Stop Loss
0.78861
Take Profit
0.78024
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put58%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread55%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Cross-reference DXY technical levels with CFTC commitment of traders positioning for medium-term directional bias in major pairs.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.