📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Pre-Market Analysis
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.8% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Bullish76,309.32
-1.37%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (57.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 75,499 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. Momentum at 57 is in the sweet spot: bullish enough to confirm direction, not so extended as to warrant caution. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure. The structured approach identifies Long Call at 48% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support64,971.71
Resistance79,488.17
Moving Averages
21-day SMA75,290.90
50-day SMA71,955.43
100-day SMA72,797.08
200-day SMA84,574.20
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 57.1 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 79,488.17 |
| 23.6% | 76,062.29 |
| 38.2% | 73,942.88 |
| 50.0% | 72,229.94 |
| 61.8% | 70,517.00 |
| 78.6% | 68,078.23 |
| Low (100.0%) | 64,971.71 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 81,375.31 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 83,436.65 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 88,459.35 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 63,084.57 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 61,023.23 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 56,000.53 |
Trade Setup
Entry
76,309.32
Stop Loss
75,016.86
Take Profit
78,894.24
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call48%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread48%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Long Put46%
Buy OTM Put
Ethereum (ETH)
Neutral2,303.06
-2.81%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (44.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (2,310) flips the near-term structure bearish — the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. The 45 RSI keeps the momentum profile in bear territory. Rallies are selling opportunities until the 50-line is recaptured. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Iron Condor as the highest-conviction play at 69%.
Support / Resistance
Support1,930.60
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,306.73
50-day SMA2,188.22
100-day SMA2,230.51
200-day SMA2,769.34
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.5 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,464.78 |
| 23.6% | 2,338.72 |
| 38.2% | 2,260.73 |
| 50.0% | 2,197.69 |
| 61.8% | 2,134.66 |
| 78.6% | 2,044.91 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1,930.60 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,534.23 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,610.08 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,794.91 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,861.16 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,785.30 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1,600.47 |
Trade Setup
Entry
2,303.06
Stop Loss
2,260.08
Take Profit
2,389.03
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor69%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread69%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread69%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor BTC dominance, funding rates, and on-chain metrics for confirmation of the current regime.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.