π Originally published at shunya.trade β View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Forex Market Pre-Market Analysis
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.8% Moderate
EUR/USD
Neutral1.16752
-0.32%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (32.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (1.17) flips the near-term structure bearish β the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. With the RSI reading at 33, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Strategy selection converges on Long Strangle (54%) β the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support0.85595
Resistance1.18488
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.17346
50-day SMA1.16188
100-day SMA1.17048
200-day SMA1.16756
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 32.5 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.18488 |
| 23.6% | 1.10725 |
| 38.2% | 1.05923 |
| 50.0% | 1.02041 |
| 61.8% | 0.98160 |
| 78.6% | 0.92634 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.85595 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.22764 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.27435 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.38816 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.81319 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.76648 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.65267 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.16752
Stop Loss
1.15380
Take Profit
1.19496
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Long Strangle54%
Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
Long Straddle54%
Buy ATM Call + Buy ATM Put
Iron Condor52%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
GBP/USD
Neutral1.34775
-0.30%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (38.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (1.35). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. At 38, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure. The model's top pick is Iron Condor (66%) β the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support0.74178
Resistance1.35983
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.35041
50-day SMA1.33839
100-day SMA1.34706
200-day SMA1.34010
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 38.1 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.35983 |
| 23.6% | 1.21397 |
| 38.2% | 1.12373 |
| 50.0% | 1.05080 |
| 61.8% | 0.97788 |
| 78.6% | 0.87404 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.74178 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.44018 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.52794 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.74178 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.66143 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.57367 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.35983 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34775
Stop Loss
1.32302
Take Profit
1.39721
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor66%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread66%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread66%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
USD/JPY
Strong Bullish160.423
+0.50%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (69.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (159). Momentum oscillator at 70 enters overbought territory β the tape is stretched and vulnerable to profit-taking. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β histogram expanding above the zero line. The scoring engine flags Long Call with a 63% conviction score β the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support157.534
Resistance160.561
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.274
50-day SMA159.338
100-day SMA157.490
200-day SMA156.049
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 69.7 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong upward strength but risk of reversion.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 160.561 |
| 23.6% | 159.846 |
| 38.2% | 159.404 |
| 50.0% | 159.047 |
| 61.8% | 158.690 |
| 78.6% | 158.182 |
| Low (100.0%) | 157.534 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 160.954 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 161.384 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 162.431 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 157.140 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 156.710 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 155.663 |
Trade Setup
Entry
160.423
Stop Loss
159.930
Take Profit
161.410
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
AUD/USD
Neutral0.71183
-0.89%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (42.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (0.71) flips the near-term structure bearish β the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. With RSI at 42, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The model's top pick is Iron Condor (67%) β the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68347
Resistance1.40522
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.71339
50-day SMA0.70394
100-day SMA0.70300
200-day SMA0.68102
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 42.1 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.40522 |
| 23.6% | 1.23489 |
| 38.2% | 1.12951 |
| 50.0% | 1.04434 |
| 61.8% | 0.95918 |
| 78.6% | 0.83792 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.68347 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.49905 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.60154 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.85126 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.58964 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.48715 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.23743 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.71183
Stop Loss
0.68493
Take Profit
0.76562
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor67%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread67%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread67%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish1.36802
-0.03%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (41.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (1.37). RSI at 42 lingers below the midline β momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Long Put (58%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35553
Resistance1.39919
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.37221
50-day SMA1.37697
100-day SMA1.37110
200-day SMA1.38169
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 41.7 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 1.39919 |
| 23.6% | 1.38889 |
| 38.2% | 1.38251 |
| 50.0% | 1.37736 |
| 61.8% | 1.37221 |
| 78.6% | 1.36487 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1.35553 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 1.40487 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 1.41107 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 1.42617 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1.34985 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1.34365 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.32855 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1.36802
Stop Loss
1.37149
Take Profit
1.36108
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put58%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread55%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bullish0.79147
+0.27%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (67.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 0.78 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. The 68 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. MACD histogram prints positive, confirming the bullish impulse leg is intact. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Call as the highest-conviction play at 63%.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77637
Resistance0.80483
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.78518
50-day SMA0.78979
100-day SMA0.78245
200-day SMA0.79064
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 67.8 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 0.80483 |
| 23.6% | 0.79811 |
| 38.2% | 0.79396 |
| 50.0% | 0.79060 |
| 61.8% | 0.78724 |
| 78.6% | 0.78246 |
| Low (100.0%) | 0.77637 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 0.80853 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 0.81257 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 0.82242 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 0.77267 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 0.76863 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 0.75878 |
Trade Setup
Entry
0.79147
Stop Loss
0.78882
Take Profit
0.79676
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call63%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)60%
Sell OTM Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.