📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.9% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Strong Bullish80,471.16
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (71.1)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The short-term moving average at 79,138 holds as support, keeping the 20-day trend channel intact for now. RSI reading of 71 signals extended positioning. Watch for mean-reversion setups on any loss of momentum. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift. The model's top pick is Long Call (50%) — the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support64,971.71
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA79,096.45
50-day SMA74,581.50
100-day SMA71,806.45
200-day SMA82,275.14
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 71.1 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 82,792.21 |
| 23.6% | 78,586.57 |
| 38.2% | 75,984.78 |
| 50.0% | 73,881.96 |
| 61.8% | 71,779.14 |
| 78.6% | 68,785.29 |
| Low (100.0%) | 64,971.71 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 85,108.88 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 87,639.39 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 93,805.28 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 62,655.04 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 60,124.53 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 53,958.64 |
Trade Setup
Entry
80,471.16
Stop Loss
79,445.00
Take Profit
82,523.47
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call50%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread50%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)47%
Sell OTM Put
Ethereum (ETH)
Neutral2,300.88
+1.15%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (56.3)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (2,315). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. The 56 RSI reading is comfortably above the midline — momentum aligns with the directional thesis. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift. The structured approach identifies Iron Condor at 53% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1,939.53
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,316.09
50-day SMA2,245.88
100-day SMA2,144.67
200-day SMA2,638.69
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 56.3 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,464.78 |
| 23.6% | 2,340.82 |
| 38.2% | 2,264.14 |
| 50.0% | 2,202.16 |
| 61.8% | 2,140.18 |
| 78.6% | 2,051.93 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1,939.53 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,533.07 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,607.65 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,789.39 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,871.25 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,796.66 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1,614.92 |
Trade Setup
Entry
2,300.88
Stop Loss
2,269.61
Take Profit
2,363.42
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor53%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread53%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread53%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor BTC dominance, funding rates, and on-chain metrics for confirmation of the current regime.
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