📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Crypto Market Post-Market Review

May 18, 202612:00 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Bitcoin (BTC)
77,238.51
-0.25%
Ethereum (ETH)
2,132.77
+0.24%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.7% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Neutral
77,238.51
-0.25%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (40.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (79,352) flips the near-term structure bearish — the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. The 40 reading on the momentum gauge signals persistent softness. Sellers maintain the edge until a reclaim of the 50-line. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. Strategy selection converges on Iron Condor (72%) — the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support65,725.26
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA79,208.92
50-day SMA75,641.66
100-day SMA72,211.74
200-day SMA81,434.20
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 40.5 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)82,792.21
23.6%78,764.41
38.2%76,272.63
50.0%74,258.73
61.8%72,244.83
78.6%69,377.59
Low (100.0%)65,725.26
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)85,010.91
Ext 1.272 (Up)87,434.42
Ext 1.618 (Up)93,339.59
Ext 1.13 (Dn)63,506.55
Ext 1.272 (Dn)61,083.05
Ext 1.618 (Dn)55,177.88
Trade Setup
Entry
77,238.51
Stop Loss
76,275.49
Take Profit
79,164.54
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor72%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread72%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread72%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Ethereum (ETH)
Strong Bearish
2,132.77
+0.24%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (26.6)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Sellers have pushed through the 20-day average (2,281), signaling a deterioration in near-term structure. With the RSI reading at 27, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure. The scoring engine flags Long Put with a 72% conviction score — the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support1,979.08
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,280.97
50-day SMA2,260.02
100-day SMA2,150.22
200-day SMA2,593.36
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) — Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 26.6 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)2,464.78
23.6%2,350.16
38.2%2,279.24
50.0%2,221.93
61.8%2,164.62
78.6%2,083.02
Low (100.0%)1,979.08
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)2,527.93
Ext 1.272 (Up)2,596.90
Ext 1.618 (Up)2,764.95
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1,915.94
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1,846.96
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1,678.91
Trade Setup
Entry
2,132.77
Stop Loss
2,174.75
Take Profit
2,048.82
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put72%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread69%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track institutional BTC ETF flow data against derivatives open interest growth for macro-driven allocation cues.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.