πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

United States Market Post-Market Review

May 19, 202604:30 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Gold (GC)
4,489
-1.40%
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
28,912
-0.63%
S&P 500 (ES)
7,374
-0.70%
Silver (SI)
74.14
-3.81%
Dollar Index (DX)
99.33
+0.36%
Dow Jones (DJI)
49,364
-0.65%
Crude Oil (CL)
104
-4.01%
Natural Gas (NG)
3.12
+3.14%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.1% Moderate
Gold (GC)
Strong Bearish
4,489
-1.40%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (45.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (4,638), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. RSI at 46 lingers below the midline β€” momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram β€” confirming the bearish momentum shift. At 18.9x normal volume, the flow data confirms institutional participation. This is a high-conviction move.
Support / Resistance
Support4,101
Resistance5,230
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,641
50-day SMA4,707
100-day SMA4,780
200-day SMA4,331
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 45.8 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)5,230
23.6%4,963
38.2%4,798
50.0%4,665
61.8%4,532
78.6%4,342
Low (100.0%)4,101
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)5,376
Ext 1.272 (Up)5,537
Ext 1.618 (Up)5,927
Ext 1.13 (Dn)3,954
Ext 1.272 (Dn)3,794
Ext 1.618 (Dn)3,403
Trade Setup
Entry
4,489
Stop Loss
4,534
Take Profit
4,398
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put79%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread79%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread76%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Strong Bullish
28,912
-0.63%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (70.7)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (28,323) remains unbroken on the downside β€” bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. RSI has climbed to 71, putting the tape in overbought territory. New directional longs carry elevated reversal risk. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The scoring engine flags Long Call with a 50% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support22,962
Resistance29,782
Moving Averages
21-day SMA28,243
50-day SMA26,249
100-day SMA25,820
200-day SMA25,278
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 70.7 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)29,782
23.6%28,172
38.2%27,177
50.0%26,372
61.8%25,567
78.6%24,421
Low (100.0%)22,962
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)30,669
Ext 1.272 (Up)31,637
Ext 1.618 (Up)33,997
Ext 1.13 (Dn)22,075
Ext 1.272 (Dn)21,106
Ext 1.618 (Dn)18,746
Trade Setup
Entry
28,912
Stop Loss
28,604
Take Profit
29,529
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call50%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread50%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Long Put47%
Buy OTM Put
S&P 500 (ES)
Strong Bullish
7,374
-0.70%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (66.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 7,317 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. The 66 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. MACD histogram negative and deepening β€” the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Across the full 31-strategy universe, Long Call captures the highest score at 50%. Alignment across trend, momentum, and vol regime drives the ranking.
Support / Resistance
Support6,353
Resistance7,540
Moving Averages
21-day SMA7,306
50-day SMA6,976
100-day SMA6,951
200-day SMA6,817
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 66.1 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)7,540
23.6%7,260
38.2%7,087
50.0%6,947
61.8%6,807
78.6%6,607
Low (100.0%)6,353
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)7,694
Ext 1.272 (Up)7,863
Ext 1.618 (Up)8,273
Ext 1.13 (Dn)6,199
Ext 1.272 (Dn)6,030
Ext 1.618 (Dn)5,620
Trade Setup
Entry
7,374
Stop Loss
7,323
Take Profit
7,476
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call50%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread50%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)47%
Sell OTM Put
Silver (SI)
Strong Bearish
74.14
-3.81%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (53.3)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day moving average at 77.74 now acts as overhead resistance β€” bears have reclaimed near-term control. Momentum at 53 is in the sweet spot: bullish enough to confirm direction, not so extended as to warrant caution. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram β€” confirming the bearish momentum shift. At 10.9x normal volume, the flow data confirms institutional participation. This is a high-conviction move.
Support / Resistance
Support61.09
Resistance89.59
Moving Averages
21-day SMA77.68
50-day SMA76.74
100-day SMA80.66
200-day SMA64.28
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 53.3 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)89.59
23.6%82.86
38.2%78.70
50.0%75.34
61.8%71.98
78.6%67.19
Low (100.0%)61.09
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)93.29
Ext 1.272 (Up)97.34
Ext 1.618 (Up)107
Ext 1.13 (Dn)57.39
Ext 1.272 (Dn)53.34
Ext 1.618 (Dn)43.48
Trade Setup
Entry
74.14
Stop Loss
76.62
Take Profit
69.16
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put68%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread68%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread65%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Dollar Index (DX)
Strong Bullish
99.33
+0.36%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (54.6)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 98.52 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. The 55 RSI reading is comfortably above the midline β€” momentum aligns with the directional thesis. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Call as the highest-conviction play at 73%.
Support / Resistance
Support97.63
Resistance101
Moving Averages
21-day SMA98.52
50-day SMA98.97
100-day SMA98.49
200-day SMA98.54
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 54.6 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)101
23.6%99.93
38.2%99.49
50.0%99.13
61.8%98.78
78.6%98.27
Low (100.0%)97.63
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)101
Ext 1.272 (Up)101
Ext 1.618 (Up)102
Ext 1.13 (Dn)97.24
Ext 1.272 (Dn)96.81
Ext 1.618 (Dn)95.77
Trade Setup
Entry
99.33
Stop Loss
99.02
Take Profit
99.95
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call73%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread73%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)70%
Sell OTM Put
Dow Jones (DJI)
Neutral
49,364
-0.65%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (55.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day moving average at 49,475 now acts as overhead resistance β€” bears have reclaimed near-term control. Momentum holds constructive at 56 β€” firmly in bullish territory with room to run before the tape gets stretched. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside. The scoring engine flags Iron Condor with a 53% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support45,057
Resistance50,201
Moving Averages
21-day SMA49,460
50-day SMA48,065
100-day SMA48,584
200-day SMA47,514
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 55.7 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)50,201
23.6%48,987
38.2%48,236
50.0%47,629
61.8%47,022
78.6%46,158
Low (100.0%)45,057
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)50,869
Ext 1.272 (Up)51,600
Ext 1.618 (Up)53,379
Ext 1.13 (Dn)44,389
Ext 1.272 (Dn)43,658
Ext 1.618 (Dn)41,879
Trade Setup
Entry
49,364
Stop Loss
49,105
Take Profit
49,881
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Iron Condor53%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread53%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
Calendar Spread53%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Crude Oil (CL)
Strong Bullish
104
-4.01%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (46.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (100) remains unbroken on the downside β€” bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. The 47 reading on the momentum gauge signals persistent softness. Sellers maintain the edge until a reclaim of the 50-line. Momentum confirmation from MACD β€” the signal line crossover is bullish and the histogram continues to expand. The model's top pick is Long Call (79%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support76.73
Resistance118
Moving Averages
21-day SMA100
50-day SMA97.82
100-day SMA80.98
200-day SMA71.03
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 46.9 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)118
23.6%108
38.2%102
50.0%97.18
61.8%92.35
78.6%85.48
Low (100.0%)76.73
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)123
Ext 1.272 (Up)129
Ext 1.618 (Up)143
Ext 1.13 (Dn)71.41
Ext 1.272 (Dn)65.61
Ext 1.618 (Dn)51.45
Trade Setup
Entry
104
Stop Loss
100
Take Profit
112
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call79%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread79%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)76%
Sell OTM Put
Natural Gas (NG)
Strong Bullish
3.12
+3.14%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (76.1)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price holds above the 20-day moving average at 2.78, preserving the near-term bullish structure. The 76 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. Strategy selection converges on Long Call (72%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support2.48
Resistance3.32
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2.78
50-day SMA2.84
100-day SMA3.26
200-day SMA3.42
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 76.1 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong upward strength but risk of reversion.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)3.32
23.6%3.12
38.2%3.00
50.0%2.90
61.8%2.80
78.6%2.66
Low (100.0%)2.48
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)3.43
Ext 1.272 (Up)3.54
Ext 1.618 (Up)3.83
Ext 1.13 (Dn)2.37
Ext 1.272 (Dn)2.26
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.97
Trade Setup
Entry
3.12
Stop Loss
3.04
Take Profit
3.27
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call72%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Short Put (Cash-Secured)69%
Sell OTM Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Analyze VIX term structure (contango vs backwardation) to assess whether hedging demand supports directional or premium-selling strategies.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.