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Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.0% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Bearish77,344.36
-0.25%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (38.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (79,346), shifting short-term structure to defensive. RSI at 38 lingers below the midline — momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Put as the highest-conviction play at 52%.
Support / Resistance
Support66,281.54
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA79,313.57
50-day SMA76,419.98
100-day SMA72,538.10
200-day SMA80,794.20
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 38.0 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 82,792.21 |
| 23.6% | 78,895.69 |
| 38.2% | 76,485.13 |
| 50.0% | 74,536.88 |
| 61.8% | 72,588.62 |
| 78.6% | 69,814.82 |
| Low (100.0%) | 66,281.54 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 84,938.60 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 87,283.11 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 92,995.81 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 64,135.15 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 61,790.64 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 56,077.94 |
Trade Setup
Entry
77,344.36
Stop Loss
78,425.33
Take Profit
75,182.43
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put52%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread52%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread49%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Strong Bearish2,128.69
-0.13%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (27.4)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (2,249), shifting short-term structure to defensive. At 27, the momentum gauge is deeply oversold. Mean-reversion setups become statistically attractive, though confirmation is key. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Strategy selection converges on Long Put (63%) — the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support2,022.65
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,252.33
50-day SMA2,263.40
100-day SMA2,153.62
200-day SMA2,559.65
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) — Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 27.4 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,464.78 |
| 23.6% | 2,360.44 |
| 38.2% | 2,295.89 |
| 50.0% | 2,243.71 |
| 61.8% | 2,191.54 |
| 78.6% | 2,117.26 |
| Low (100.0%) | 2,022.65 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,522.26 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,585.05 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,738.02 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,965.17 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,902.38 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1,749.40 |
Trade Setup
Entry
2,128.69
Stop Loss
2,168.52
Take Profit
2,049.02
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
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Key Takeaway
Track institutional BTC ETF flow data against derivatives open interest growth for macro-driven allocation cues.
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