📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
16.7% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Bearish77,219.29
+0.71%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (31.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (79,030), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. With the RSI reading at 32, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The model's top pick is Long Put (52%) — the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support66,610.63
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA79,067.91
50-day SMA76,776.28
100-day SMA72,707.67
200-day SMA80,526.98
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 31.8 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 82,792.21 |
| 23.6% | 78,973.36 |
| 38.2% | 76,610.85 |
| 50.0% | 74,701.42 |
| 61.8% | 72,792.00 |
| 78.6% | 70,073.49 |
| Low (100.0%) | 66,610.63 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 84,895.82 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 87,193.60 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 92,792.43 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 64,507.03 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 62,209.24 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 56,610.42 |
Trade Setup
Entry
77,219.29
Stop Loss
78,405.61
Take Profit
74,846.65
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put52%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread52%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread49%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Strong Bearish2,123.66
+0.36%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (23.0)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Sellers have pushed through the 20-day average (2,225), signaling a deterioration in near-term structure. The 23 RSI print suggests aggressive selling has run its course — buyers may attempt to step in near support. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift. The structured approach identifies Long Put at 63% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support2,010.55
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,230.31
50-day SMA2,264.53
100-day SMA2,155.42
200-day SMA2,546.94
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 23.0 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,464.78 |
| 23.6% | 2,357.58 |
| 38.2% | 2,291.27 |
| 50.0% | 2,237.67 |
| 61.8% | 2,184.07 |
| 78.6% | 2,107.76 |
| Low (100.0%) | 2,010.55 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,523.83 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,588.33 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,745.50 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,951.50 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,887.00 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1,729.83 |
Trade Setup
Entry
2,123.66
Stop Loss
2,168.09
Take Profit
2,034.80
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Watch ETH/BTC ratio and DeFi TVL changes for rotation signals within the crypto ecosystem.
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Explore Shunya.Trade →⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.