📌 Originally published at shunya.trade — View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
15.6% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Strong Bearish61,898.07
-2.98%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (12.1)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (73,235), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. The 12 RSI print suggests aggressive selling has run its course — buyers may attempt to step in near support. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Volume surges to 1.5x the 20-day mean — the tape is moving with purpose and broad participation.
Support / Resistance
Support61,335.75
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA73,468.43
50-day SMA76,398.46
100-day SMA73,113.59
200-day SMA78,781.70
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 12.1 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 82,792.21 |
| 23.6% | 77,728.49 |
| 38.2% | 74,595.84 |
| 50.0% | 72,063.98 |
| 61.8% | 69,532.12 |
| 78.6% | 65,927.43 |
| Low (100.0%) | 61,335.75 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 85,581.55 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 88,628.37 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 96,052.30 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 58,546.41 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 55,499.59 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 48,075.66 |
Trade Setup
Entry
61,898.07
Stop Loss
63,307.32
Take Profit
59,079.57
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put72%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread69%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Strong Bearish1,662.15
-6.07%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (13.8)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (2,013), shifting short-term structure to defensive. RSI has collapsed to 14, indicating capitulation-grade selling. Contrarian risk/reward is compelling if support holds. MACD histogram negative and deepening — the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Elevated volume (1.6x average) validates the current price action — the move has sponsorship.
Support / Resistance
Support1,636.86
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,020.71
50-day SMA2,191.81
100-day SMA2,152.61
200-day SMA2,464.83
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 13.8 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,464.78 |
| 23.6% | 2,269.39 |
| 38.2% | 2,148.52 |
| 50.0% | 2,050.82 |
| 61.8% | 1,953.13 |
| 78.6% | 1,814.03 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1,636.86 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,572.41 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,689.98 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,976.44 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,529.23 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,411.66 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1,125.20 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1,662.15
Stop Loss
1,713.02
Take Profit
1,560.41
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put72%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread69%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
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Key Takeaway
Monitor BTC dominance, funding rates, and on-chain metrics for confirmation of the current regime.
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