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Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.9% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Strong Bearish63,431.81
+0.30%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (14.9)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (71,007), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. With the RSI reading at 15, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The structured approach identifies Long Put at 63% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support59,108.92
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA71,280.25
50-day SMA75,595.54
100-day SMA72,975.91
200-day SMA78,359.28
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 14.9 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 82,792.21 |
| 23.6% | 77,202.95 |
| 38.2% | 73,745.19 |
| 50.0% | 70,950.56 |
| 61.8% | 68,155.94 |
| 78.6% | 64,177.14 |
| Low (100.0%) | 59,108.92 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 85,871.04 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 89,234.07 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 97,428.49 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 56,030.09 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 52,667.06 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 44,472.64 |
Trade Setup
Entry
63,431.81
Stop Loss
65,000.32
Take Profit
60,294.79
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Strong Bearish1,682.28
-0.24%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (18.8)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (1,937). RSI has collapsed to 19, indicating capitulation-grade selling. Contrarian risk/reward is compelling if support holds. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift. Strategy selection converges on Long Put (72%) — the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support1,506.51
Resistance2,423.04
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1,945.49
50-day SMA2,148.19
100-day SMA2,141.94
200-day SMA2,444.22
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 18.8 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,423.04 |
| 23.6% | 2,206.74 |
| 38.2% | 2,072.92 |
| 50.0% | 1,964.77 |
| 61.8% | 1,856.62 |
| 78.6% | 1,702.64 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1,506.51 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,542.19 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,672.34 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,989.46 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,387.36 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,257.21 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 940.09 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1,682.28
Stop Loss
1,739.88
Take Profit
1,567.09
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put72%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread69%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
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Key Takeaway
Analyze perpetual funding rates across major exchanges alongside BTC options put/call skew for leveraged positioning signals.
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