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Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
22.2% High
Bitcoin (BTC)
Strong Bearish60,984.50
-1.07%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (14.6)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (69,371) flips the near-term structure bearish — the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. RSI has collapsed to 15, indicating capitulation-grade selling. Contrarian risk/reward is compelling if support holds. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Long Put leads the strategy table at 63% — directional bias and vol regime both align.
Support / Resistance
Support59,108.92
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA69,760.18
50-day SMA74,996.78
100-day SMA72,853.64
200-day SMA78,122.02
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 14.6 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 82,792.21 |
| 23.6% | 77,202.95 |
| 38.2% | 73,745.19 |
| 50.0% | 70,950.56 |
| 61.8% | 68,155.94 |
| 78.6% | 64,177.14 |
| Low (100.0%) | 59,108.92 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 85,871.04 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 89,234.07 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 97,428.49 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 56,030.09 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 52,667.06 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 44,472.64 |
Trade Setup
Entry
60,984.50
Stop Loss
62,549.88
Take Profit
57,853.74
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Bearish1,619.00
-1.14%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (19.9)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (1,888). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. RSI at 20 signals oversold conditions — the selling may be exhausted, creating a mean-reversion setup. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The model's top pick is Long Put (55%) — the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support1,506.51
Resistance2,423.04
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1,899.18
50-day SMA2,120.62
100-day SMA2,134.93
200-day SMA2,432.88
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 19.9 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,423.04 |
| 23.6% | 2,206.74 |
| 38.2% | 2,072.92 |
| 50.0% | 1,964.77 |
| 61.8% | 1,856.62 |
| 78.6% | 1,702.64 |
| Low (100.0%) | 1,506.51 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,542.19 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,672.34 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,989.46 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,387.36 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,257.21 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 940.09 |
Trade Setup
Entry
1,619.00
Stop Loss
1,674.84
Take Profit
1,507.32
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put55%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread55%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread52%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
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Key Takeaway
Monitor BTC dominance, funding rates, and on-chain metrics for confirmation of the current regime.
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