π Originally published at shunya.trade β View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine
United States Market Pre-Market Analysis
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
19.0% Moderate
Gold (GC)
Strong Bearish4,022
-2.62%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (29.9)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (4,315) flips the near-term structure bearish β the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. Oversold at 30 β the tape has absorbed significant selling pressure. Defined-risk reversal plays gain merit. MACD histogram negative and deepening β the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Volume surges to 7.7x the 20-day mean β the tape is moving with purpose and broad participation.
Support / Resistance
Support4,019
Resistance4,880
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,324
50-day SMA4,519
100-day SMA4,705
200-day SMA4,444
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 29.9 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 4,880 |
| 23.6% | 4,677 |
| 38.2% | 4,551 |
| 50.0% | 4,449 |
| 61.8% | 4,348 |
| 78.6% | 4,203 |
| Low (100.0%) | 4,019 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 4,992 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 5,114 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 5,412 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 3,907 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 3,785 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 3,487 |
Trade Setup
Entry
4,022
Stop Loss
4,087
Take Profit
3,890
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Neutral29,777
+0.37%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (44.6)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (29,952), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. RSI at 45 lingers below the midline β momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside. Low-conviction tape β volume at 0.2x average means the move lacks the sponsorship for sustained follow-through.
Support / Resistance
Support25,560
Resistance30,968
Moving Averages
21-day SMA29,958
50-day SMA28,861
100-day SMA26,817
200-day SMA26,037
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.6 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 30,968 |
| 23.6% | 29,692 |
| 38.2% | 28,902 |
| 50.0% | 28,264 |
| 61.8% | 27,626 |
| 78.6% | 26,717 |
| Low (100.0%) | 25,560 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 31,671 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 32,439 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 34,310 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 24,857 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 24,089 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 22,218 |
Trade Setup
Entry
29,777
Stop Loss
29,333
Take Profit
30,664
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread88%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Iron Condor66%
Sell OTM Put Spread + Sell OTM Call Spread
Butterfly Spread66%
Buy 1 Lower + Sell 2 Middle + Buy 1 Upper
S&P 500 (ES)
Neutral7,452
+0.19%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (44.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (7,494), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. Momentum at 44 reflects a tape under pressure. Bulls need to push the oscillator back above 50 to shift the narrative. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram β confirming the bearish momentum shift. Thin participation (0.1x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support6,920
Resistance7,632
Moving Averages
21-day SMA7,496
50-day SMA7,375
100-day SMA7,079
200-day SMA6,943
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.2 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 7,632 |
| 23.6% | 7,464 |
| 38.2% | 7,360 |
| 50.0% | 7,276 |
| 61.8% | 7,192 |
| 78.6% | 7,073 |
| Low (100.0%) | 6,920 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 7,725 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 7,826 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 8,072 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 6,828 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 6,727 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 6,480 |
Trade Setup
Entry
7,452
Stop Loss
7,386
Take Profit
7,583
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread74%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Put55%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread55%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Silver (SI)
Strong Bearish58.90
-5.04%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (25.0)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (69.28). Oversold at 25 β the tape has absorbed significant selling pressure. Defined-risk reversal plays gain merit. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Volume prints 19.1x above the 20-day average β institutional conviction backs the move.
Support / Resistance
Support58.81
Resistance88.89
Moving Averages
21-day SMA69.61
50-day SMA74.42
100-day SMA76.61
200-day SMA68.09
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 25.0 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 88.89 |
| 23.6% | 81.79 |
| 38.2% | 77.40 |
| 50.0% | 73.85 |
| 61.8% | 70.30 |
| 78.6% | 65.24 |
| Low (100.0%) | 58.81 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 92.80 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 97.07 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 107 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 54.89 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 50.62 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 40.21 |
Trade Setup
Entry
58.90
Stop Loss
60.41
Take Profit
55.87
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Dollar Index (DX)
Strong Bullish102
+0.36%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (81.0)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price anchored above the 20-day moving average (99.92), the short-term trend channel favours continuation higher. The momentum gauge prints 81 β historically, readings above 65 precede short-term retracements in this name. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β histogram expanding above the zero line. The model's top pick is Long Call (86%) β the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support97.63
Resistance102
Moving Averages
21-day SMA99.88
50-day SMA99.09
100-day SMA98.86
200-day SMA98.73
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 81.0 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong upward strength but risk of reversion.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 102 |
| 23.6% | 101 |
| 38.2% | 100 |
| 50.0% | 99.71 |
| 61.8% | 99.22 |
| 78.6% | 98.52 |
| Low (100.0%) | 97.63 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 102 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 103 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 104 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 97.09 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 96.50 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 95.06 |
Trade Setup
Entry
102
Stop Loss
101
Take Profit
102
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call86%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread83%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Dow Jones (DJI)
Strong Bullish51,667
-0.09%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (52.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 51,102 continues to act as dynamic support β price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. Momentum at 53 is in the sweet spot: bullish enough to confirm direction, not so extended as to warrant caution. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Long Call as the highest-conviction play at 84%.
Support / Resistance
Support47,506
Resistance52,281
Moving Averages
21-day SMA51,077
50-day SMA50,085
100-day SMA49,042
200-day SMA48,216
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 52.9 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 52,281 |
| 23.6% | 51,154 |
| 38.2% | 50,457 |
| 50.0% | 49,894 |
| 61.8% | 49,330 |
| 78.6% | 48,528 |
| Low (100.0%) | 47,506 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 52,902 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 53,580 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 55,232 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 46,885 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 46,207 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 44,555 |
Trade Setup
Entry
51,667
Stop Loss
51,231
Take Profit
52,539
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call84%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread84%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread81%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Crude Oil (CL)
Strong Bearish71.08
-2.91%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (10.5)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (85.09), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. RSI has collapsed to 11, indicating capitulation-grade selling. Contrarian risk/reward is compelling if support holds. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside. Thin participation (0.3x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support70.84
Resistance111
Moving Averages
21-day SMA85.51
50-day SMA92.83
100-day SMA87.60
200-day SMA73.82
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 10.5 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 111 |
| 23.6% | 101 |
| 38.2% | 95.62 |
| 50.0% | 90.88 |
| 61.8% | 86.15 |
| 78.6% | 79.42 |
| Low (100.0%) | 70.84 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 116 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 122 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 136 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 65.63 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 59.94 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 46.06 |
Trade Setup
Entry
71.08
Stop Loss
73.86
Take Profit
65.51
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Natural Gas (NG)
Strong Bullish3.22
+2.32%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (50.3)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 3.19 continues to act as dynamic support β price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. Momentum holds constructive at 50 β firmly in bullish territory with room to run before the tape gets stretched. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Thin participation (0.2x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support2.48
Resistance3.40
Moving Averages
21-day SMA3.18
50-day SMA2.94
100-day SMA3.00
200-day SMA3.45
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 50.3 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 3.40 |
| 23.6% | 3.18 |
| 38.2% | 3.05 |
| 50.0% | 2.94 |
| 61.8% | 2.83 |
| 78.6% | 2.68 |
| Low (100.0%) | 2.48 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 3.51 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 3.64 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 3.96 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 2.36 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 2.23 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1.92 |
Trade Setup
Entry
3.22
Stop Loss
3.14
Take Profit
3.38
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call76%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread76%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread73%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Cross-reference CME open interest shifts against ES/NQ gamma exposure profiles for institutional flow-driven trade selection.
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