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Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

June 25, 202609:15 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.13753
-0.04%
GBP/USD
1.31975
-0.02%
USD/JPY
161.749
+0.09%
AUD/USD
0.69142
-0.02%
USD/CAD
1.41950
-0.10%
USD/CHF
0.80889
-0.10%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.9% Moderate
EUR/USD
Bearish
1.13753
-0.04%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (22.9)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
SHORTGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.14598 – 1.16222
Stop Loss1.18670
TP 11.10010
TP 21.09860
TP 31.07600
Risk : Reward1 : 1.7
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (1.15), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. RSI has collapsed to 23, indicating capitulation-grade selling. Contrarian risk/reward is compelling if support holds. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13254
Resistance1.16855
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.15289
50-day SMA1.16367
100-day SMA1.16545
200-day SMA1.16672
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 22.9 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.13753; midline 1.15449.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.16005
0.3821.15480
0.5001.15055
0.6181.14630
0.7861.14025
Trade Setup
Entry
1.15410
Stop Loss
1.18670
Take Profit
1.10010
Risk / Reward
1:1.7
Sell
GBP/USD
Bearish
1.31975
-0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (30.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
SHORTGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.32017 – 1.33887
Stop Loss1.36841
TP 11.28250
TP 21.26680
TP 31.00000
Risk : Reward1 : 1.2
Analyst Summary
The 20-day average at 1.34 has failed as support, transitioning into resistance. Price must reclaim it to neutralize the bearish signal. With the RSI reading at 31, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31430
Resistance1.34854
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33366
50-day SMA1.34431
100-day SMA1.34337
200-day SMA1.34073
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 30.7 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.31975; midline 1.33565.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.34046
0.3821.33546
0.5001.33142
0.6181.32738
0.7861.32163
Trade Setup
Entry
1.32952
Stop Loss
1.36841
Take Profit
1.28250
Risk / Reward
1:1.2
Sell
USD/JPY
Neutral
161.749
+0.09%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (77.4)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone160.131 – 163.366
Stop Loss161.749
TP 1161.749
TP 2161.749
TP 3161.749
Risk : Reward1 : 300.0
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (160) remains unbroken on the downside — bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. At 77 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. MACD histogram negative and deepening — the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis.
Support / Resistance
Support159.099
Resistance161.950
Moving Averages
21-day SMA160.469
50-day SMA159.288
100-day SMA158.403
200-day SMA156.242
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 77.4 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 161.749; midline 160.427.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.236161.277
0.382160.861
0.500160.524
0.618160.188
0.786159.709
Trade Setup
Entry
161.749
Stop Loss
161.459
Take Profit
162.329
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Bearish
0.69142
-0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (21.3)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
SHORTGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.68934 – 0.69328
Stop Loss0.71325
TP 10.66420
TP 20.66010
TP 30.44690
Risk : Reward1 : 1.2
Analyst Summary
The 20-day average at 0.71 has failed as support, transitioning into resistance. Price must reclaim it to neutralize the bearish signal. Momentum oscillator at 21 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68849
Resistance0.72004
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70438
50-day SMA0.71299
100-day SMA0.70826
200-day SMA0.68564
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 21.3 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.69142; midline 0.70586.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.71259
0.3820.70799
0.5000.70426
0.6180.70054
0.7860.69524
Trade Setup
Entry
0.69131
Stop Loss
0.71325
Take Profit
0.66420
Risk / Reward
1:1.2
Sell
USD/CAD
Neutral
1.41950
-0.10%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (87.4)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.40531 – 1.43369
Stop Loss1.41950
TP 11.41950
TP 21.41950
TP 31.41950
Risk : Reward1 : 0.0
Analyst Summary
Trading above the 20-day SMA (1.40), the asset maintains its bullish price structure — dip-buying remains the high-probability play. Momentum is overheated at 87. While trend can override oscillators, the statistical edge for fresh longs is diminished. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure.
Support / Resistance
Support1.37702
Resistance1.42481
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40089
50-day SMA1.38138
100-day SMA1.37683
200-day SMA1.38296
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 87.4 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.41950; midline 1.39881.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.41353
0.3821.40655
0.5001.40092
0.6181.39528
0.7861.38725
Trade Setup
Entry
1.41950
Stop Loss
1.41558
Take Profit
1.42734
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CHF
Neutral
0.80889
-0.10%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (77.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.80080 – 0.81698
Stop Loss0.80889
TP 10.80889
TP 20.80889
TP 30.80889
Risk : Reward1 : 0.0
Analyst Summary
The short-term moving average at 0.80 holds as support, keeping the 20-day trend channel intact for now. With RSI at 77, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77987
Resistance0.81389
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.79807
50-day SMA0.78878
100-day SMA0.78577
200-day SMA0.79084
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 77.5 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.80889; midline 0.79649.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.80586
0.3820.80089
0.5000.79688
0.6180.79287
0.7860.78715
Trade Setup
Entry
0.80889
Stop Loss
0.80559
Take Profit
0.81548
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
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Key Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.