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Asia-Pacific Market Pre-Market Analysis

July 13, 202608:15 AM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Nikkei 225 (N225)
68,558
+1.20%
KOSPI (South Korea)
7,476
+2.52%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
15.0% Moderate
Nikkei 225 (N225)
Neutral
68,558
+1.20%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (39.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (69,679) flips the near-term structure bearish — the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. With RSI at 39, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD histogram negative and deepening — the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. The structured approach identifies Calendar Spread at 71% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support58,928
Resistance72,832
Moving Averages
21-day SMA69,504
50-day SMA66,054
100-day SMA60,942
200-day SMA55,570
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 39.4 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)72,832
23.6%69,550
38.2%67,521
50.0%65,880
61.8%64,239
78.6%61,904
Low (100.0%)58,928
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)74,639
Ext 1.272 (Up)76,613
Ext 1.618 (Up)81,424
Ext 1.13 (Dn)57,121
Ext 1.272 (Dn)55,146
Ext 1.618 (Dn)50,336
Trade Setup
Entry
68,558
Stop Loss
67,526
Take Profit
70,622
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread71%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Call51%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread51%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
KOSPI (South Korea)
Strong Bearish
7,476
+2.52%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (32.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (8,301), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. Oversold at 32 — the tape has absorbed significant selling pressure. Defined-risk reversal plays gain merit. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Strategy selection converges on Long Put (86%) — the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support6,596
Resistance9,386
Moving Averages
21-day SMA8,292
50-day SMA7,965
100-day SMA6,860
200-day SMA5,514
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 32.2 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)9,386
23.6%8,727
38.2%8,320
50.0%7,991
61.8%7,662
78.6%7,193
Low (100.0%)6,596
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)9,748
Ext 1.272 (Up)10,144
Ext 1.618 (Up)11,110
Ext 1.13 (Dn)6,233
Ext 1.272 (Dn)5,837
Ext 1.618 (Dn)4,872
Trade Setup
Entry
7,476
Stop Loss
7,815
Take Profit
6,799
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track USD/JPY correlation with Nikkei 225 and watch Hang Seng tech sector for regional momentum cues.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.