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Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

July 16, 202609:15 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.14456
+0.18%
GBP/USD
1.34787
+0.61%
USD/JPY
162.351
+0.10%
AUD/USD
0.69974
+0.30%
USD/CAD
1.40430
-0.06%
USD/CHF
0.80792
-0.14%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
16.7% Moderate
EUR/USD
Bearish
1.14456
+0.18%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (62.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
SHORTGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.14112 – 1.14789
Stop Loss1.18791
TP 11.11990
TP 21.10390
TP 31.09860
Risk : Reward1 : 0.6
Analyst Summary
Trading above the 20-day SMA (1.14), the asset maintains its bullish price structure — dip-buying remains the high-probability play. The 62 RSI reading is comfortably above the midline — momentum aligns with the directional thesis. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13254
Resistance1.14797
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.14426
50-day SMA1.15422
100-day SMA1.15912
200-day SMA1.16415
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 62.1 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.14456; midline 1.14132.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.14433
0.3821.14208
0.5001.14026
0.6181.13844
0.7861.13584
Trade Setup
Entry
1.14451
Stop Loss
1.18791
Take Profit
1.11990
Risk / Reward
1:0.6
Sell
GBP/USD
Neutral
1.34787
+0.61%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (77.4)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.33439 – 1.36135
Stop Loss1.34787
TP 11.34787
TP 21.34787
TP 31.34787
Risk : Reward1 : 5.0
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (1.33). With RSI at 77, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31430
Resistance1.35444
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33563
50-day SMA1.33838
100-day SMA1.33980
200-day SMA1.33959
Moving Average Signals
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 77.4 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.34787; midline 1.33027.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.34497
0.3821.33911
0.5001.33437
0.6181.32964
0.7861.32289
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34787
Stop Loss
1.34314
Take Profit
1.35735
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Neutral
162.351
+0.10%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (55.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone160.727 – 163.975
Stop Loss162.351
TP 1162.351
TP 2162.351
TP 3162.351
Risk : Reward1 : 200.0
Analyst Summary
The short-term moving average at 162 holds as support, keeping the 20-day trend channel intact for now. The oscillator at 56 reflects sustained buying interest — bulls control the momentum channel. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower.
Support / Resistance
Support160.620
Resistance162.836
Moving Averages
21-day SMA161.763
50-day SMA160.330
100-day SMA159.510
200-day SMA157.283
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 55.8 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 162.351; midline 161.972.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.236162.313
0.382161.989
0.500161.728
0.618161.467
0.786161.094
Trade Setup
Entry
162.351
Stop Loss
161.845
Take Profit
163.363
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Neutral
0.69974
+0.30%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (66.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.69274 – 0.70674
Stop Loss0.69974
TP 10.69974
TP 20.69974
TP 30.69974
Risk : Reward1 : 100.0
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (0.69), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. The 67 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68657
Resistance0.70233
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.69638
50-day SMA0.70565
100-day SMA0.70617
200-day SMA0.68808
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 66.5 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.69974; midline 0.69378.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.69861
0.3820.69631
0.5000.69445
0.6180.69259
0.7860.68994
Trade Setup
Entry
0.69974
Stop Loss
0.69702
Take Profit
0.70519
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CAD
Bullish
1.40430
-0.06%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (19.4)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
LONGGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.38223 – 1.40162
Stop Loss1.34892
TP 11.44120
TP 21.46220
TP 32.00000
Risk : Reward1 : 1.1
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 1.42 opens the door to further downside probing. With the RSI reading at 19, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The MACD reading adds conviction to the long thesis — positive and expanding histogram with a bullish signal-line cross.
Support / Resistance
Support1.40070
Resistance1.42478
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.41192
50-day SMA1.39709
100-day SMA1.38477
200-day SMA1.38518
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 19.4 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.40430; midline 1.41741.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: LONG | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.41910
0.3821.41558
0.5001.41274
0.6181.40990
0.7861.40585
Trade Setup
Entry
1.39193
Stop Loss
1.34892
Take Profit
1.44120
Risk / Reward
1:1.1
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral
0.80792
-0.14%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (46.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Institutional Signal
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.79984 – 0.81600
Stop Loss0.80792
TP 10.80792
TP 20.80792
TP 30.80792
Risk : Reward1 : 0.0
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (0.81), shifting short-term structure to defensive. At 46, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure.
Support / Resistance
Support0.80090
Resistance0.81504
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.80605
50-day SMA0.79624
100-day SMA0.79127
200-day SMA0.79188
Moving Average Signals
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 46.0 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.80792; midline 0.80839.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Signal
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.81170
0.3820.80964
0.5000.80797
0.6180.80630
0.7860.80393
Trade Setup
Entry
0.80792
Stop Loss
0.80453
Take Profit
0.81471
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
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Key Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.