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Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Asia-Pacific Market Post-Market Review

July 16, 202603:30 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Nikkei 225 (N225)
66,838
-2.78%
KOSPI (South Korea)
6,808
-6.55%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
15.7% Moderate
Nikkei 225 (N225)
Bearish
66,838
-2.78%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (40.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 69,223 opens the door to further downside probing. At 40, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. Low-conviction tape — volume at 0.0x average means the move lacks the sponsorship for sustained follow-through.
Support / Resistance
Support59,292
Resistance72,832
Moving Averages
21-day SMA69,311
50-day SMA66,634
100-day SMA61,373
200-day SMA56,025
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 40.5 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)72,832
23.6%69,636
38.2%67,660
50.0%66,062
61.8%64,464
78.6%62,190
Low (100.0%)59,292
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)74,592
Ext 1.272 (Up)76,514
Ext 1.618 (Up)81,199
Ext 1.13 (Dn)57,532
Ext 1.272 (Dn)55,610
Ext 1.618 (Dn)50,925
Trade Setup
Entry
66,838
Stop Loss
67,885
Take Profit
64,744
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put69%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread69%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread66%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
KOSPI (South Korea)
Strong Bearish
6,808
-6.55%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (30.3)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Beneath the 20-day moving average (7,929), the tape is in distribution mode. Sellers control the structure. Oversold at 30 — the tape has absorbed significant selling pressure. Defined-risk reversal plays gain merit. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The structured approach identifies Long Put at 86% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support6,449
Resistance9,386
Moving Averages
21-day SMA7,983
50-day SMA7,982
100-day SMA6,917
200-day SMA5,584
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) — Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 30.3 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)9,386
23.6%8,693
38.2%8,264
50.0%7,917
61.8%7,571
78.6%7,077
Low (100.0%)6,449
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)9,767
Ext 1.272 (Up)10,184
Ext 1.618 (Up)11,200
Ext 1.13 (Dn)6,067
Ext 1.272 (Dn)5,650
Ext 1.618 (Dn)4,634
Trade Setup
Entry
6,808
Stop Loss
7,127
Take Profit
6,168
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track USD/JPY correlation with Nikkei 225 and watch Hang Seng tech sector for regional momentum cues.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.