πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

United States Market Post-Market Review

July 17, 202604:30 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Gold (GC)
4,014
+0.72%
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
28,746
-1.64%
S&P 500 (ES)
7,489
-1.17%
Silver (SI)
56.26
+0.65%
Dollar Index (DX)
101
+0.02%
Dow Jones (DJI)
52,146
-0.77%
Crude Oil (CL)
81.59
+3.34%
Natural Gas (NG)
2.92
+2.27%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.8% Moderate
Gold (GC)
Strong Bearish
4,014
+0.72%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (44.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (4,078), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. RSI at 45 lingers below the midline β€” momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. The convergence-divergence oscillator prints a bullish signal. Histogram expansion above zero validates the upside move. Heavy turnover at 17.7x average signals that the smart money is actively positioning. Conviction trade.
Support / Resistance
Support3,962
Resistance4,765
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,092
50-day SMA4,318
100-day SMA4,564
200-day SMA4,473
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.9 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)4,765
23.6%4,576
38.2%4,459
50.0%4,364
61.8%4,269
78.6%4,134
Low (100.0%)3,962
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)4,870
Ext 1.272 (Up)4,984
Ext 1.618 (Up)5,261
Ext 1.13 (Dn)3,858
Ext 1.272 (Dn)3,744
Ext 1.618 (Dn)3,466
Trade Setup
Entry
4,014
Stop Loss
4,063
Take Profit
3,917
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put78%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread78%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread75%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Strong Bearish
28,746
-1.64%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (44.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day average at 29,756 has failed as support, transitioning into resistance. Price must reclaim it to neutralize the bearish signal. Momentum at 44 reflects a tape under pressure. Bulls need to push the oscillator back above 50 to shift the narrative. MACD histogram negative and deepening β€” the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. The scoring engine flags Long Put with a 86% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support28,228
Resistance30,968
Moving Averages
21-day SMA29,753
50-day SMA29,680
100-day SMA27,549
200-day SMA26,459
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.5 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)30,968
23.6%30,321
38.2%29,921
50.0%29,598
61.8%29,275
78.6%28,814
Low (100.0%)28,228
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)31,324
Ext 1.272 (Up)31,713
Ext 1.618 (Up)32,661
Ext 1.13 (Dn)27,872
Ext 1.272 (Dn)27,482
Ext 1.618 (Dn)26,534
Trade Setup
Entry
28,746
Stop Loss
29,150
Take Profit
27,938
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
S&P 500 (ES)
Bearish
7,489
-1.17%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (57.1)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 7,529 opens the door to further downside probing. Momentum at 57 is in the sweet spot: bullish enough to confirm direction, not so extended as to warrant caution. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The scoring engine flags Long Put with a 64% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support7,232
Resistance7,632
Moving Averages
21-day SMA7,524
50-day SMA7,495
100-day SMA7,179
200-day SMA7,016
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 57.1 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)7,632
23.6%7,538
38.2%7,479
50.0%7,432
61.8%7,385
78.6%7,318
Low (100.0%)7,232
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)7,684
Ext 1.272 (Up)7,741
Ext 1.618 (Up)7,879
Ext 1.13 (Dn)7,180
Ext 1.272 (Dn)7,123
Ext 1.618 (Dn)6,985
Trade Setup
Entry
7,489
Stop Loss
7,540
Take Profit
7,389
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put64%
Buy OTM Put
Calendar Spread64%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Put Ratio Backspread64%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Silver (SI)
Strong Bearish
56.26
+0.65%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (41.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 59.73 opens the door to further downside probing. At 42, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend. Heavy turnover at 9.5x average signals that the smart money is actively positioning. Conviction trade.
Support / Resistance
Support55.00
Resistance88.89
Moving Averages
21-day SMA60.26
50-day SMA68.85
100-day SMA73.31
200-day SMA69.36
Moving Average Signals
Death Cross identified (50-day crossed below 200-day) β€” Bearish major signal
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 41.7 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)88.89
23.6%80.89
38.2%75.94
50.0%71.94
61.8%67.95
78.6%62.25
Low (100.0%)55.00
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)93.29
Ext 1.272 (Up)98.11
Ext 1.618 (Up)110
Ext 1.13 (Dn)50.59
Ext 1.272 (Dn)45.78
Ext 1.618 (Dn)34.06
Trade Setup
Entry
56.26
Stop Loss
57.51
Take Profit
53.77
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put78%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread78%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread75%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Dollar Index (DX)
Neutral
101
+0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (39.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (101), shifting short-term structure to defensive. With RSI at 40, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. Momentum confirmation is bearish β€” MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Calendar Spread as the highest-conviction play at 80%.
Support / Resistance
Support97.63
Resistance102
Moving Averages
21-day SMA101
50-day SMA99.94
100-day SMA99.45
200-day SMA99.01
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 39.5 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)102
23.6%101
38.2%100
50.0%99.72
61.8%99.22
78.6%98.52
Low (100.0%)97.63
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)102
Ext 1.272 (Up)103
Ext 1.618 (Up)104
Ext 1.13 (Dn)97.09
Ext 1.272 (Dn)96.50
Ext 1.618 (Dn)95.05
Trade Setup
Entry
101
Stop Loss
101
Take Profit
101
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread80%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Strangle61%
Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
Long Straddle61%
Buy ATM Call + Buy ATM Put
Dow Jones (DJI)
Neutral
52,146
-0.77%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (54.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (52,306). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. The 54 RSI reading is comfortably above the midline β€” momentum aligns with the directional thesis. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram β€” confirming the bearish momentum shift. Our 31-strategy scoring model ranks Calendar Spread as the highest-conviction play at 81%.
Support / Resistance
Support49,236
Resistance53,289
Moving Averages
21-day SMA52,267
50-day SMA51,220
100-day SMA49,538
200-day SMA48,764
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 54.5 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)53,289
23.6%52,333
38.2%51,741
50.0%51,263
61.8%50,784
78.6%50,103
Low (100.0%)49,236
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)53,816
Ext 1.272 (Up)54,392
Ext 1.618 (Up)55,794
Ext 1.13 (Dn)48,709
Ext 1.272 (Dn)48,133
Ext 1.618 (Dn)46,731
Trade Setup
Entry
52,146
Stop Loss
51,883
Take Profit
52,673
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread81%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Strangle63%
Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
Long Straddle63%
Buy ATM Call + Buy ATM Put
Crude Oil (CL)
Strong Bullish
81.59
+3.34%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (77.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (73.36). Momentum oscillator at 77 enters overbought territory β€” the tape is stretched and vulnerable to profit-taking. The convergence-divergence oscillator prints a bullish signal. Histogram expansion above zero validates the upside move. The structured approach identifies Long Call at 75% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support67.04
Resistance109
Moving Averages
21-day SMA73.53
50-day SMA85.36
100-day SMA89.03
200-day SMA74.59
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 77.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)109
23.6%99.46
38.2%93.26
50.0%88.26
61.8%83.25
78.6%76.12
Low (100.0%)67.04
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)115
Ext 1.272 (Up)121
Ext 1.618 (Up)136
Ext 1.13 (Dn)61.52
Ext 1.272 (Dn)55.50
Ext 1.618 (Dn)40.82
Trade Setup
Entry
81.59
Stop Loss
79.65
Take Profit
85.46
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call75%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread75%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread72%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Natural Gas (NG)
Strong Bearish
2.92
+2.27%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (31.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day moving average at 3.12 now acts as overhead resistance β€” bears have reclaimed near-term control. Momentum oscillator at 31 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. Thin participation (0.7x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support2.68
Resistance3.44
Moving Averages
21-day SMA3.13
50-day SMA3.08
100-day SMA2.97
200-day SMA3.46
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 31.2 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)3.44
23.6%3.26
38.2%3.15
50.0%3.06
61.8%2.97
78.6%2.84
Low (100.0%)2.68
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)3.54
Ext 1.272 (Up)3.65
Ext 1.618 (Up)3.91
Ext 1.13 (Dn)2.58
Ext 1.272 (Dn)2.47
Ext 1.618 (Dn)2.20
Trade Setup
Entry
2.92
Stop Loss
3.00
Take Profit
2.77
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put77%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread77%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread74%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Analyze VIX term structure (contango vs backwardation) to assess whether hedging demand supports directional or premium-selling strategies.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.