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United States Market Pre-Market Analysis

July 23, 202609:00 AM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Gold (GC)
4,069
-1.88%
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
28,786
-1.36%
S&P 500 (ES)
7,468
-0.95%
Silver (SI)
58.26
-2.93%
Dollar Index (DX)
101
+0.26%
Dow Jones (DJI)
52,219
-0.01%
Crude Oil (CL)
90.86
+4.64%
Natural Gas (NG)
2.99
+2.15%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.9% Moderate
Gold (GC)
Bullish
4,069
-1.88%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (46.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (4,067) remains unbroken on the downside β€” bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. RSI at 47 lingers below the midline β€” momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend. Volume surges to 16.8x the 20-day mean β€” the tape is moving with purpose and broad participation.
Support / Resistance
Support3,962
Resistance4,765
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,063
50-day SMA4,267
100-day SMA4,519
200-day SMA4,478
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 46.9 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)4,765
23.6%4,576
38.2%4,459
50.0%4,364
61.8%4,269
78.6%4,134
Low (100.0%)3,962
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)4,870
Ext 1.272 (Up)4,984
Ext 1.618 (Up)5,261
Ext 1.13 (Dn)3,858
Ext 1.272 (Dn)3,744
Ext 1.618 (Dn)3,466
Trade Setup
Entry
4,069
Stop Loss
4,027
Take Profit
4,154
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call71%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread71%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread68%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Strong Bearish
28,786
-1.36%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (41.5)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (29,555). RSI at 42 lingers below the midline β€” momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. Thin participation (0.3x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support28,228
Resistance30,968
Moving Averages
21-day SMA29,554
50-day SMA29,679
100-day SMA27,705
200-day SMA26,539
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 41.5 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)30,968
23.6%30,321
38.2%29,921
50.0%29,598
61.8%29,275
78.6%28,814
Low (100.0%)28,228
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)31,324
Ext 1.272 (Up)31,713
Ext 1.618 (Up)32,661
Ext 1.13 (Dn)27,872
Ext 1.272 (Dn)27,482
Ext 1.618 (Dn)26,534
Trade Setup
Entry
28,786
Stop Loss
29,149
Take Profit
28,058
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put80%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread80%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread77%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
S&P 500 (ES)
Bearish
7,468
-0.95%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (45.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 7,535 opens the door to further downside probing. The 45 reading on the momentum gauge signals persistent softness. Sellers maintain the edge until a reclaim of the 50-line. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure. Low-conviction tape β€” volume at 0.2x average means the move lacks the sponsorship for sustained follow-through.
Support / Resistance
Support7,232
Resistance7,632
Moving Averages
21-day SMA7,530
50-day SMA7,504
100-day SMA7,203
200-day SMA7,031
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 45.0 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)7,632
23.6%7,538
38.2%7,479
50.0%7,432
61.8%7,385
78.6%7,318
Low (100.0%)7,232
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)7,684
Ext 1.272 (Up)7,741
Ext 1.618 (Up)7,879
Ext 1.13 (Dn)7,180
Ext 1.272 (Dn)7,123
Ext 1.618 (Dn)6,985
Trade Setup
Entry
7,468
Stop Loss
7,515
Take Profit
7,374
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread64%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Strangle63%
Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
Long Straddle63%
Buy ATM Call + Buy ATM Put
Silver (SI)
Bearish
58.26
-2.93%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (44.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (58.83). At 44, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. MACD histogram prints positive, confirming the bullish impulse leg is intact. Volume surges to 5.6x the 20-day mean β€” the tape is moving with purpose and broad participation.
Support / Resistance
Support55.01
Resistance88.89
Moving Averages
21-day SMA58.79
50-day SMA67.07
100-day SMA72.07
200-day SMA69.60
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 44.0 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)88.89
23.6%80.89
38.2%75.95
50.0%71.95
61.8%67.95
78.6%62.26
Low (100.0%)55.01
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)93.29
Ext 1.272 (Up)98.10
Ext 1.618 (Up)110
Ext 1.13 (Dn)50.61
Ext 1.272 (Dn)45.80
Ext 1.618 (Dn)34.08
Trade Setup
Entry
58.26
Stop Loss
59.37
Take Profit
56.04
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread64%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Call60%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread60%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Dollar Index (DX)
Bullish
101
+0.26%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (60.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Buyers defend the 20-day SMA at 101 β€” the near-term trend structure remains intact. RSI at 60 holds above the 50-line, confirming the bullish directional bias without yet reaching overbought extremes. MACD validates the bearish lean: histogram below zero and expanding in negative territory. The impulse leg is to the downside. Strategy selection converges on Long Call (58%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support97.95
Resistance102
Moving Averages
21-day SMA101
50-day SMA100
100-day SMA99.58
200-day SMA99.08
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 60.4 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)102
23.6%101
38.2%100
50.0%99.88
61.8%99.42
78.6%98.77
Low (100.0%)97.95
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)102
Ext 1.272 (Up)103
Ext 1.618 (Up)104
Ext 1.13 (Dn)97.45
Ext 1.272 (Dn)96.90
Ext 1.618 (Dn)95.57
Trade Setup
Entry
101
Stop Loss
101
Take Profit
102
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call58%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread58%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread55%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Dow Jones (DJI)
Neutral
52,219
-0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (48.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (52,373) flips the near-term structure bearish β€” the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. With RSI at 49, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD histogram negative and deepening β€” the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. Strategy selection converges on Calendar Spread (74%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support49,236
Resistance53,289
Moving Averages
21-day SMA52,339
50-day SMA51,363
100-day SMA49,619
200-day SMA48,849
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 48.7 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)53,289
23.6%52,333
38.2%51,741
50.0%51,263
61.8%50,784
78.6%50,103
Low (100.0%)49,236
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)53,816
Ext 1.272 (Up)54,392
Ext 1.618 (Up)55,794
Ext 1.13 (Dn)48,709
Ext 1.272 (Dn)48,133
Ext 1.618 (Dn)46,731
Trade Setup
Entry
52,219
Stop Loss
51,955
Take Profit
52,747
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread74%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Strangle63%
Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
Long Straddle63%
Buy ATM Call + Buy ATM Put
Crude Oil (CL)
Strong Bullish
90.86
+4.64%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (89.6)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 75.95 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. RSI has climbed to 90, putting the tape in overbought territory. New directional longs carry elevated reversal risk. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. Thin participation (0.6x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support67.04
Resistance109
Moving Averages
21-day SMA75.68
50-day SMA84.63
100-day SMA89.87
200-day SMA75.10
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 89.6 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong upward strength but risk of reversion.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Signal
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)109
23.6%99.46
38.2%93.26
50.0%88.26
61.8%83.25
78.6%76.12
Low (100.0%)67.04
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)115
Ext 1.272 (Up)121
Ext 1.618 (Up)136
Ext 1.13 (Dn)61.52
Ext 1.272 (Dn)55.50
Ext 1.618 (Dn)40.82
Trade Setup
Entry
90.86
Stop Loss
88.53
Take Profit
95.51
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call86%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread83%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Natural Gas (NG)
Bearish
2.99
+2.15%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (36.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (3.06), shifting short-term structure to defensive. At 36, the momentum oscillator reinforces the bearish lean. Sellers have the edge in the near-term. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure. Thin participation (0.2x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support2.80
Resistance3.44
Moving Averages
21-day SMA3.07
50-day SMA3.09
100-day SMA2.97
200-day SMA3.45
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 36.4 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)3.44
23.6%3.29
38.2%3.20
50.0%3.12
61.8%3.04
78.6%2.94
Low (100.0%)2.80
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)3.52
Ext 1.272 (Up)3.62
Ext 1.618 (Up)3.84
Ext 1.13 (Dn)2.71
Ext 1.272 (Dn)2.62
Ext 1.618 (Dn)2.40
Trade Setup
Entry
2.99
Stop Loss
3.06
Take Profit
2.85
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread60%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor US Treasury yields and Dollar Index correlation for cross-asset momentum signals.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.