πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

United States Market Post-Market Review

July 29, 202604:30 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Gold (GC)
4,108
+1.78%
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
27,288
-2.27%
S&P 500 (ES)
7,335
-1.74%
Silver (SI)
57.42
+0.21%
Dollar Index (DX)
101
-0.44%
Dow Jones (DJI)
51,594
-2.19%
Crude Oil (CL)
84.78
+6.96%
Natural Gas (NG)
2.72
+2.37%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
20.7% High
Gold (GC)
Neutral
4,108
+1.78%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (48.3)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price anchored above the 20-day moving average (4,072), the short-term trend channel favours continuation higher. With RSI at 48, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend. Participation is heavy at 19.3x average volume β€” this is not a low-liquidity drift, but a committed directional push.
Support / Resistance
Support3,962
Resistance4,592
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,070
50-day SMA4,221
100-day SMA4,476
200-day SMA4,480
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 48.3 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
V-Shape Recovery / Double Bottom Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)4,592
23.6%4,443
38.2%4,351
50.0%4,277
61.8%4,203
78.6%4,097
Low (100.0%)3,962
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)4,674
Ext 1.272 (Up)4,763
Ext 1.618 (Up)4,981
Ext 1.13 (Dn)3,881
Ext 1.272 (Dn)3,791
Ext 1.618 (Dn)3,574
Trade Setup
Entry
4,108
Stop Loss
4,074
Take Profit
4,177
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread67%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Strangle66%
Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
Long Straddle66%
Buy ATM Call + Buy ATM Put
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Strong Bearish
27,288
-2.27%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (20.9)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day average at 29,148 has failed as support, transitioning into resistance. Price must reclaim it to neutralize the bearish signal. The 21 RSI print suggests aggressive selling has run its course β€” buyers may attempt to step in near support. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. Volume prints 1.4x above the 20-day average β€” institutional conviction backs the move.
Support / Resistance
Support27,202
Resistance30,968
Moving Averages
21-day SMA29,213
50-day SMA29,558
100-day SMA27,820
200-day SMA26,593
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 20.9 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)30,968
23.6%30,079
38.2%29,529
50.0%29,085
61.8%28,640
78.6%28,008
Low (100.0%)27,202
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)31,458
Ext 1.272 (Up)31,992
Ext 1.618 (Up)33,296
Ext 1.13 (Dn)26,712
Ext 1.272 (Dn)26,177
Ext 1.618 (Dn)24,874
Trade Setup
Entry
27,288
Stop Loss
27,683
Take Profit
26,499
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
S&P 500 (ES)
Strong Bearish
7,335
-1.74%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (28.3)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 7,525 opens the door to further downside probing. RSI has collapsed to 28, indicating capitulation-grade selling. Contrarian risk/reward is compelling if support holds. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. Volume surges to 1.4x the 20-day mean β€” the tape is moving with purpose and broad participation.
Support / Resistance
Support7,232
Resistance7,632
Moving Averages
21-day SMA7,526
50-day SMA7,500
100-day SMA7,226
200-day SMA7,043
Moving Average Trends
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 28.3 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)7,632
23.6%7,538
38.2%7,479
50.0%7,432
61.8%7,385
78.6%7,318
Low (100.0%)7,232
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)7,684
Ext 1.272 (Up)7,741
Ext 1.618 (Up)7,879
Ext 1.13 (Dn)7,180
Ext 1.272 (Dn)7,123
Ext 1.618 (Dn)6,985
Trade Setup
Entry
7,335
Stop Loss
7,388
Take Profit
7,228
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Silver (SI)
Strong Bearish
57.42
+0.21%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (40.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (58.63), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. With RSI at 40, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β€” histogram expanding above the zero line. Volume surges to 17.0x the 20-day mean β€” the tape is moving with purpose and broad participation.
Support / Resistance
Support55.01
Resistance78.46
Moving Averages
21-day SMA58.67
50-day SMA64.98
100-day SMA71.02
200-day SMA69.80
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 40.4 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)78.46
23.6%72.93
38.2%69.51
50.0%66.74
61.8%63.97
78.6%60.03
Low (100.0%)55.01
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)81.51
Ext 1.272 (Up)84.84
Ext 1.618 (Up)92.96
Ext 1.13 (Dn)51.97
Ext 1.272 (Dn)48.64
Ext 1.618 (Dn)40.52
Trade Setup
Entry
57.42
Stop Loss
58.34
Take Profit
55.57
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put78%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread78%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread75%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Dollar Index (DX)
Neutral
101
-0.44%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (49.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (101). RSI at 50 lingers below the midline β€” momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram β€” confirming the bearish momentum shift. Strategy selection converges on Calendar Spread (74%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support98.75
Resistance102
Moving Averages
21-day SMA101
50-day SMA100
100-day SMA99.68
200-day SMA99.13
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 49.9 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)102
23.6%101
38.2%101
50.0%100
61.8%99.92
78.6%99.40
Low (100.0%)98.75
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)102
Ext 1.272 (Up)103
Ext 1.618 (Up)104
Ext 1.13 (Dn)98.35
Ext 1.272 (Dn)97.92
Ext 1.618 (Dn)96.87
Trade Setup
Entry
101
Stop Loss
101
Take Profit
101
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread74%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Put62%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread62%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Dow Jones (DJI)
Bearish
51,594
-2.19%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (39.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day moving average at 52,376 now acts as overhead resistance β€” bears have reclaimed near-term control. With RSI at 40, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD histogram negative and deepening β€” the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. The model's top pick is Long Strangle (64%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support49,236
Resistance53,289
Moving Averages
21-day SMA52,373
50-day SMA51,593
100-day SMA49,791
200-day SMA48,985
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 39.7 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)53,289
23.6%52,333
38.2%51,741
50.0%51,263
61.8%50,784
78.6%50,103
Low (100.0%)49,236
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)53,816
Ext 1.272 (Up)54,392
Ext 1.618 (Up)55,794
Ext 1.13 (Dn)48,709
Ext 1.272 (Dn)48,133
Ext 1.618 (Dn)46,731
Trade Setup
Entry
51,594
Stop Loss
51,952
Take Profit
50,879
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Strangle64%
Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
Long Straddle64%
Buy ATM Call + Buy ATM Put
Long Put57%
Buy OTM Put
Crude Oil (CL)
Bullish
84.78
+6.96%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (65.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (78.75), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. With RSI at 65, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. The convergence-divergence oscillator prints a bullish signal. Histogram expansion above zero validates the upside move. The model's top pick is Long Call (69%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support67.04
Resistance109
Moving Averages
21-day SMA78.31
50-day SMA83.18
100-day SMA90.23
200-day SMA75.55
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 65.4 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)109
23.6%99.46
38.2%93.26
50.0%88.26
61.8%83.25
78.6%76.12
Low (100.0%)67.04
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)115
Ext 1.272 (Up)121
Ext 1.618 (Up)136
Ext 1.13 (Dn)61.52
Ext 1.272 (Dn)55.50
Ext 1.618 (Dn)40.82
Trade Setup
Entry
84.78
Stop Loss
81.97
Take Profit
90.41
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call69%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread69%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread66%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Natural Gas (NG)
Strong Bearish
2.72
+2.37%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (29.6)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (2.96) flips the near-term structure bearish β€” the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. Momentum oscillator at 30 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. The scoring engine flags Long Put with a 86% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support2.63
Resistance3.44
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2.97
50-day SMA3.08
100-day SMA2.96
200-day SMA3.44
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 29.6 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)3.44
23.6%3.25
38.2%3.13
50.0%3.04
61.8%2.94
78.6%2.81
Low (100.0%)2.63
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)3.55
Ext 1.272 (Up)3.66
Ext 1.618 (Up)3.94
Ext 1.13 (Dn)2.53
Ext 1.272 (Dn)2.42
Ext 1.618 (Dn)2.14
Trade Setup
Entry
2.72
Stop Loss
2.79
Take Profit
2.60
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put86%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread86%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread83%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Analyze VIX term structure (contango vs backwardation) to assess whether hedging demand supports directional or premium-selling strategies.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.