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Forex Market Pre-Market Analysis

August 09, 202608:45 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.15620
+0.04%
GBP/USD
1.34982
+0.32%
USD/JPY
157.696
-0.45%
AUD/USD
0.70711
+0.54%
USD/CAD
1.39460
-0.48%
USD/CHF
0.80767
+0.12%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
14.9% Low
EUR/USD
Neutral
1.15620
+0.04%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (67.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Quantitative Analysis
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.14464 – 1.16776
Stop Loss1.15620
TP 11.15620
TP 21.15620
TP 31.15620
Risk : Reward1 : 300.0
Analyst Summary
The tape holds above the 20-day average (1.15), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. The momentum gauge prints 68 — historically, readings above 65 precede short-term retracements in this name. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it.
Support / Resistance
Support1.13545
Resistance1.15821
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.14738
50-day SMA1.14751
100-day SMA1.15703
200-day SMA1.16280
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 67.8 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.15620; midline 1.14506.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.15284
0.3821.14952
0.5001.14683
0.6181.14414
0.7861.14032
Trade Setup
Entry
1.15620
Stop Loss
1.15303
Take Profit
1.16256
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Neutral
1.34982
+0.32%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (55.6)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Quantitative Analysis
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.33632 – 1.36332
Stop Loss1.34982
TP 11.34982
TP 21.34982
TP 31.34982
Risk : Reward1 : 100.0
Analyst Summary
Trading above the 20-day SMA (1.34), the asset maintains its bullish price structure — dip-buying remains the high-probability play. Momentum holds constructive at 56 — firmly in bullish territory with room to run before the tape gets stretched. The convergence-divergence oscillator is in bearish mode. Histogram expansion below zero signals sustained selling pressure.
Support / Resistance
Support1.32732
Resistance1.35446
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.34117
50-day SMA1.33654
100-day SMA1.34062
200-day SMA1.34012
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 55.6 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.34982; midline 1.34130.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.34806
0.3821.34409
0.5001.34089
0.6181.33769
0.7861.33313
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34982
Stop Loss
1.34515
Take Profit
1.35916
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Bearish
157.696
-0.45%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (26.4)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Quantitative Analysis
SHORTGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone157.223 – 158.115
Stop Loss164.043
TP 1153.000
TP 2152.883
TP 3151.681
Risk : Reward1 : 0.7
Analyst Summary
The break below the 20-day SMA at 161 opens the door to further downside probing. Momentum oscillator at 26 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram.
Support / Resistance
Support155.256
Resistance163.979
Moving Averages
21-day SMA160.431
50-day SMA161.203
100-day SMA160.002
200-day SMA158.059
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 26.4 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 157.696; midline 161.270.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.236161.920
0.382160.647
0.500159.618
0.618158.588
0.786157.123
Trade Setup
Entry
157.669
Stop Loss
164.043
Take Profit
153.000
Risk / Reward
1:0.7
Sell
AUD/USD
Neutral
0.70711
+0.54%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (60.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Quantitative Analysis
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.70004 – 0.71418
Stop Loss0.70711
TP 10.70711
TP 20.70711
TP 30.70711
Risk : Reward1 : 7.0
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (0.70) remains unbroken on the downside — bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. Momentum at 60 is in the sweet spot: bullish enough to confirm direction, not so extended as to warrant caution. MACD histogram negative and deepening — the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis.
Support / Resistance
Support0.69137
Resistance0.70772
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70081
50-day SMA0.69977
100-day SMA0.70526
200-day SMA0.69215
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 60.0 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.70711; midline 0.70016.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.70386
0.3820.70147
0.5000.69954
0.6180.69762
0.7860.69487
Trade Setup
Entry
0.70711
Stop Loss
0.70393
Take Profit
0.71347
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CAD
Neutral
1.39460
-0.48%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (33.8)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Quantitative Analysis
NEUTRALGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone1.38065 – 1.40855
Stop Loss1.39460
TP 11.39460
TP 21.39460
TP 31.39460
Risk : Reward1 : 0.0
Analyst Summary
Loss of the 20-day SMA (1.41) flips the near-term structure bearish — the moving average now acts as a ceiling rather than a floor. The 34 RSI reading places the asset in the oversold zone. Watch for a bullish divergence — it would signal the selling wave is exhausting. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39268
Resistance1.41533
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40539
50-day SMA1.40729
100-day SMA1.39136
200-day SMA1.38560
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 33.8 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.39460; midline 1.40550.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2361.40998
0.3821.40668
0.5001.40401
0.6181.40133
0.7861.39753
Trade Setup
Entry
1.39460
Stop Loss
1.39092
Take Profit
1.40195
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CHF
Bullish
0.80767
+0.12%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (48.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
TAE Quantitative Analysis
LONGGrade: FScore: 0%
Entry Zone0.80509 – 0.81009
Stop Loss0.78197
TP 10.83100
TP 20.84200
TP 30.84440
Risk : Reward1 : 0.9
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (0.81), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. With RSI at 49, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move.
Support / Resistance
Support0.80442
Resistance0.82047
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.80974
50-day SMA0.80511
100-day SMA0.79597
200-day SMA0.79299
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 48.9 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
MACD Analysis
TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.80767; midline 0.81115.
Volume Analysis
FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
TAE Signal: LONG | Grade: F | Score: 0%
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
0.2360.81668
0.3820.81434
0.5000.81244
0.6180.81055
0.7860.80785
Trade Setup
Entry
0.80759
Stop Loss
0.78197
Take Profit
0.83100
Risk / Reward
1:0.9
Buy
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Cross-reference DXY technical levels with CFTC commitment of traders positioning for medium-term directional bias in major pairs.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.