πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

United States Market Post-Market Review

August 18, 202604:30 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Gold (GC)
4,396.50
-0.48%
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
29,569.75
-1.75%
S&P 500 (ES)
7,714.25
-0.70%
Silver (SI)
63.58
-3.84%
Dollar Index (DX)
99.68
+0.04%
Dow Jones (DJI)
53,343.40
-0.22%
Crude Oil (CL)
84.24
-0.31%
Natural Gas (NG)
2.78
+3.49%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
15.8% Moderate
Gold (GC)
Strong Bullish
4,396.50
-0.48%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (78.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (4,211) remains unbroken on the downside β€” bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. With RSI at 78, the risk/reward for new long entries deteriorates. Favour strategies that benefit from a pullback or consolidation. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β€” histogram expanding above the zero line. Elevated volume (10.3x average) validates the current price action β€” the move has sponsorship.
Support / Resistance
Support3,962.50
Resistance4,493.10
Moving Averages
21-day SMA4,204.60
50-day SMA4,158.04
100-day SMA4,391.05
200-day SMA4,490.59
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 78.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)4,493.10
23.6%4,367.88
38.2%4,290.41
50.0%4,227.80
61.8%4,165.19
78.6%4,076.05
Low (100.0%)3,962.50
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)4,562.08
Ext 1.272 (Up)4,637.42
Ext 1.618 (Up)4,821.01
Ext 1.13 (Dn)3,893.52
Ext 1.272 (Dn)3,818.18
Ext 1.618 (Dn)3,634.59
Trade Setup
Entry
4,396.50
Stop Loss
4,347.99
Take Profit
4,493.51
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call80%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread80%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread77%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Strong Bullish
29,569.75
-1.75%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (74.0)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Buyers defend the 20-day SMA at 29,154 β€” the near-term trend structure remains intact. RSI reading of 74 signals extended positioning. Watch for mean-reversion setups on any loss of momentum. The MACD reading adds conviction to the long thesis β€” positive and expanding histogram with a bullish signal-line cross. The model's top pick is Long Call (82%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support27,201.50
Resistance30,968.00
Moving Averages
21-day SMA29,161.99
50-day SMA29,456.40
100-day SMA28,514.80
200-day SMA26,892.66
Moving Average Trends
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 74.0 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)30,968.00
23.6%30,079.11
38.2%29,529.20
50.0%29,084.75
61.8%28,640.30
78.6%28,007.53
Low (100.0%)27,201.50
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)31,457.65
Ext 1.272 (Up)31,992.49
Ext 1.618 (Up)33,295.70
Ext 1.13 (Dn)26,711.85
Ext 1.272 (Dn)26,177.01
Ext 1.618 (Dn)24,873.80
Trade Setup
Entry
29,569.75
Stop Loss
29,240.85
Take Profit
30,227.54
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call82%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread82%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread79%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
S&P 500 (ES)
Strong Bullish
7,714.25
-0.70%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (75.7)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (7,638). The 76 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. MACD histogram remains in positive territory, underpinning the current directional move. The model's top pick is Long Call (82%) β€” the optimal structure given current trend, momentum, and volatility readings.
Support / Resistance
Support7,232.25
Resistance7,838.50
Moving Averages
21-day SMA7,633.24
50-day SMA7,555.81
100-day SMA7,370.64
200-day SMA7,110.25
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 75.7 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)7,838.50
23.6%7,695.43
38.2%7,606.91
50.0%7,535.38
61.8%7,463.84
78.6%7,361.99
Low (100.0%)7,232.25
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)7,917.31
Ext 1.272 (Up)8,003.40
Ext 1.618 (Up)8,213.16
Ext 1.13 (Dn)7,153.44
Ext 1.272 (Dn)7,067.35
Ext 1.618 (Dn)6,857.59
Trade Setup
Entry
7,714.25
Stop Loss
7,666.71
Take Profit
7,809.33
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call82%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread82%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread79%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Silver (SI)
Bullish
63.58
-3.84%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (67.2)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The short-term moving average at 61.30 holds as support, keeping the 20-day trend channel intact for now. At 67 on the RSI, the asset is technically overbought. Momentum can sustain here, but the probability of a corrective pause rises. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β€” histogram expanding above the zero line. Heavy turnover at 19.3x average signals that the smart money is actively positioning. Conviction trade.
Support / Resistance
Support55.01
Resistance70.95
Moving Averages
21-day SMA61.19
50-day SMA61.53
100-day SMA68.83
200-day SMA70.75
Moving Average Trends
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 67.2 confirms strong buying momentum, with room to run before becoming extremely overbought.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)70.95
23.6%67.19
38.2%64.86
50.0%62.98
61.8%61.10
78.6%58.43
Low (100.0%)55.01
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)73.02
Ext 1.272 (Up)75.28
Ext 1.618 (Up)80.80
Ext 1.13 (Dn)52.94
Ext 1.272 (Dn)50.68
Ext 1.618 (Dn)45.17
Trade Setup
Entry
63.58
Stop Loss
62.62
Take Profit
65.51
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call72%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread69%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Dollar Index (DX)
Strong Bearish
99.68
+0.04%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (23.0)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Sellers have pushed through the 20-day average (100), signaling a deterioration in near-term structure. RSI at 23 signals oversold conditions β€” the selling may be exhausted, creating a mean-reversion setup. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Long Put (80%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support99.16
Resistance101.80
Moving Averages
21-day SMA100.32
50-day SMA100.49
100-day SMA99.69
200-day SMA99.17
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 23.0 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)101.80
23.6%101.18
38.2%100.79
50.0%100.48
61.8%100.17
78.6%99.72
Low (100.0%)99.16
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)102.14
Ext 1.272 (Up)102.52
Ext 1.618 (Up)103.43
Ext 1.13 (Dn)98.82
Ext 1.272 (Dn)98.44
Ext 1.618 (Dn)97.53
Trade Setup
Entry
99.68
Stop Loss
99.94
Take Profit
99.15
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put80%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread80%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Put Spread77%
Buy Put + Sell lower Put
Dow Jones (DJI)
Strong Bullish
53,343.40
-0.22%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (70.8)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 53,129 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. The momentum gauge prints 71 β€” historically, readings above 65 precede short-term retracements in this name. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram β€” confirming the bearish momentum shift. Strategy selection converges on Long Call (74%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support49,909.07
Resistance54,744.33
Moving Averages
21-day SMA53,085.52
50-day SMA52,430.84
100-day SMA50,750.93
200-day SMA49,469.13
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 70.8 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)54,744.33
23.6%53,603.21
38.2%52,897.26
50.0%52,326.70
61.8%51,756.14
78.6%50,943.82
Low (100.0%)49,909.07
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)55,372.91
Ext 1.272 (Up)56,059.52
Ext 1.618 (Up)57,732.52
Ext 1.13 (Dn)49,280.49
Ext 1.272 (Dn)48,593.88
Ext 1.618 (Dn)46,920.88
Trade Setup
Entry
53,343.40
Stop Loss
53,048.06
Take Profit
53,934.08
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call74%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread74%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread71%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Crude Oil (CL)
Bullish
84.24
-0.31%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (49.6)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Buyers defend the 20-day SMA at 82.54 β€” the near-term trend structure remains intact. The 50 reading on the momentum gauge signals persistent softness. Sellers maintain the edge until a reclaim of the 50-line. Momentum confirmation from MACD β€” the signal line crossover is bullish and the histogram continues to expand. Thin participation (0.7x average) suggests the tape may be drifting rather than trending. Treat breakouts with scepticism.
Support / Resistance
Support67.04
Resistance95.47
Moving Averages
21-day SMA82.65
50-day SMA79.25
100-day SMA88.56
200-day SMA77.08
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 49.6 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume is noticeably higher on up-days, signaling strong underlying buyer accumulation.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)95.47
23.6%88.76
38.2%84.61
50.0%81.26
61.8%77.90
78.6%73.12
Low (100.0%)67.04
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)99.17
Ext 1.272 (Up)103.20
Ext 1.618 (Up)113.04
Ext 1.13 (Dn)63.34
Ext 1.272 (Dn)59.31
Ext 1.618 (Dn)49.47
Trade Setup
Entry
84.24
Stop Loss
82.05
Take Profit
88.62
Risk / Reward
2.0
Buy
Top Options Strategies
Long Call79%
Buy OTM Call
Call Ratio Backspread79%
Sell 1 lower Call + Buy 2 higher Calls
Bull Call Spread76%
Buy Call + Sell higher Call
Natural Gas (NG)
Neutral
2.78
+3.49%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (54.4)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term structure remains constructive with price trading above the 20-day SMA (2.76). Momentum at 54 is in the sweet spot: bullish enough to confirm direction, not so extended as to warrant caution. MACD histogram prints positive, confirming the bullish impulse leg is intact. The scoring engine flags Calendar Spread with a 70% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support2.62
Resistance3.44
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2.76
50-day SMA2.97
100-day SMA2.92
200-day SMA3.40
Moving Average Trends
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 54.4 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Confluence
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)3.44
23.6%3.25
38.2%3.13
50.0%3.03
61.8%2.93
78.6%2.79
Low (100.0%)2.62
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)3.55
Ext 1.272 (Up)3.67
Ext 1.618 (Up)3.95
Ext 1.13 (Dn)2.51
Ext 1.272 (Dn)2.39
Ext 1.618 (Dn)2.11
Trade Setup
Entry
2.78
Stop Loss
2.74
Take Profit
2.88
Risk / Reward
2.0
Neutral
Top Options Strategies
Calendar Spread70%
Sell near-term + Buy far-term (same strike)
Long Put57%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread57%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track GEX (Gamma Exposure) flip levels β€” dealer positioning above/below the GEX zero line drives intraday volatility regimes.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.