Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Forex Post-Market Review
End-of-Day Follow-Up: What EURUSD (1.11944) & USDCHF (-0.7%) Signaled at Today's Institutional Supply/Demand Zones
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Forex Session Audit
Forex order flow resolved balanced two-way rotational into the NY close. Settlement levels and overnight bias follow. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 1 assets defending bullish structure and 1 remaining under seller control. EURUSD settled at 1.11944 (+0.10%), with GBPUSD (+0.21%) leading relative strength and USDCHF (-0.65%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with USDCAD holding above structural demand while AUDUSD faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
21.1% High
EUR/USD
Neutral1.11944
+0.10%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.11927
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.11095
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.12759
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
EUR/USD (1.11944, +0.10%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 1.11927 50% Equilibrium pivot). Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 1.12759, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 1.11095 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.12759 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.11578 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.12678.
Support / Resistance
Support1.11095
Resistance1.12759
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.12295
50-day SMA1.13904
100-day SMA1.14330
200-day SMA1.15602
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 56.1 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.11944; midline 1.12020.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.11944
Stop Loss
1.11578
Take Profit
1.12678
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Neutral1.34072
+0.21%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.32931
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.31385
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.34477
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the GBP/USD tape (1.34072, +0.21%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 1.32931 50% Equilibrium threshold. Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 1.34477, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 1.31385 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.34477 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.33578 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.35059.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31385
Resistance1.34477
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33346
50-day SMA1.33818
100-day SMA1.33886
200-day SMA1.34293
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 69.7 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.34072; midline 1.33051.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34072
Stop Loss
1.33578
Take Profit
1.35059
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Neutral157.856
+0.03%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline157.519
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)156.096
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)158.942
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on USD/JPY at 157.856 (+0.03%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (157.519 midpoint). Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 158.942, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 156.096 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 158.942 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 157.300 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 158.967.
Support / Resistance
Support156.096
Resistance158.942
Moving Averages
21-day SMA157.744
50-day SMA157.428
100-day SMA159.220
200-day SMA158.550
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 44.0 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 157.856; midline 157.930.
Trade Setup
Entry
157.856
Stop Loss
157.300
Take Profit
158.967
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Bearish0.70057
-0.30%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.69816
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.68954
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.70678
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on AUD/USD (0.70057, -0.30%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 0.69816 equilibrium baseline. Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 0.70678, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 0.68954 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.70678 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.72883 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.68020.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68954
Resistance0.70678
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70136
50-day SMA0.70660
100-day SMA0.70328
200-day SMA0.70573
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 57.6 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.70057; midline 0.69938.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.70139
Stop Loss
0.72883
Take Profit
0.68020
Risk / Reward
1:0.8
Sell
USD/CAD
Bullish1.39822
-0.03%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Discount Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureBOS (Break of Structure)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.41203
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.39416
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.42989
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
USD/CAD (1.39822, -0.03%) maintains a constructive institutional footprint after confirming a BOS, with price operating in the Discount zone (0.0% from the 1.41203 50% Equilibrium baseline). Primary Bullish Order Block (+OB) demand is stacked between 1.39416, whereas overhead supply sits near 1.42989. With internal Fair Value Gaps largely balanced, execution focuses directly on the 1.39416 demand shelf. Session Follow-Up: Intraday price action respected the bullish structure; holding above 1.34862 keeps the expansion path open toward 1.44450 into the next session.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39416
Resistance1.42989
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40715
50-day SMA1.40294
100-day SMA1.40464
200-day SMA1.38873
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 12.1 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.39822; midline 1.41243.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.39357
Stop Loss
1.34862
Take Profit
1.44450
Risk / Reward
1:1.1
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral0.81822
-0.65%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.82852
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.81757
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.83948
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the USD/CHF tape (0.81822, -0.65%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 0.82852 50% Equilibrium threshold. Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 0.83948, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 0.81757 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.83948 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.81472 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.82521.
Support / Resistance
Support0.81757
Resistance0.83948
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.82565
50-day SMA0.82154
100-day SMA0.81508
200-day SMA0.79917
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 30.2 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.81822; midline 0.82768.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.81822
Stop Loss
0.81472
Take Profit
0.82521
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
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Research Desk Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
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