Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Forex Post-Market Review
FX Institutional Desk Closing Follow-Up: How EURUSD (1.11919) & AUDUSD (-0.8%) Delivered Against Morning Levels
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Forex Session Audit
The NY close marks the daily candle print — the forex tape settled balanced two-way rotational. End-of-day analysis follows. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 1 assets defending bullish structure and 1 remaining under seller control. EURUSD settled at 1.11919 (+0.31%), with USDJPY (+0.62%) leading relative strength and AUDUSD (-0.82%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with USDCAD holding above structural demand while AUDUSD faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
20.8% High
EUR/USD
Neutral1.11919
+0.31%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.11898
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.11095
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.12701
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on EUR/USD (1.11919, +0.31%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 1.11898 equilibrium baseline. Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 1.12701 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 1.11095. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.12701 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.11540 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.12678.
Support / Resistance
Support1.11095
Resistance1.12701
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.12230
50-day SMA1.13802
100-day SMA1.14286
200-day SMA1.15566
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 47.8 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.11919; midline 1.11989.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.11919
Stop Loss
1.11540
Take Profit
1.12678
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Neutral1.34172
+0.24%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.32942
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.31385
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.34499
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
GBP/USD (1.34172, +0.24%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 1.32942 50% Equilibrium pivot). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 1.34499 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 1.31385. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.34499 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.33669 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.35179.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31385
Resistance1.34499
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33403
50-day SMA1.33770
100-day SMA1.33884
200-day SMA1.34279
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 67.2 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.34172; midline 1.33139.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34172
Stop Loss
1.33669
Take Profit
1.35179
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Neutral158.658
+0.62%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline157.519
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)156.096
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)158.942
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the USD/JPY tape (158.658, +0.62%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 157.519 50% Equilibrium threshold. Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 158.942 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 156.096. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 158.942 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 158.115 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 159.744.
Support / Resistance
Support156.096
Resistance158.942
Moving Averages
21-day SMA157.812
50-day SMA157.415
100-day SMA159.203
200-day SMA158.570
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 52.6 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 158.658; midline 157.956.
Trade Setup
Entry
158.658
Stop Loss
158.115
Take Profit
159.744
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Bearish0.69711
-0.82%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.69816
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.68954
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.70678
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on AUD/USD at 0.69711 (-0.82%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (0.69816 midpoint). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 0.70678 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 0.68954. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.70678 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.72712 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.68020.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68954
Resistance0.70678
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70116
50-day SMA0.70628
100-day SMA0.70320
200-day SMA0.70577
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 47.9 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.69711; midline 0.69952.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.69781
Stop Loss
0.72712
Take Profit
0.68020
Risk / Reward
1:0.6
Sell
USD/CAD
Bullish1.40056
+0.25%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Discount Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureBOS (Break of Structure)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.41203
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.39416
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.42989
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk order-flow tracking shows USD/CAD holding firm at 1.40056 (+0.25%) following a BOS, while real-money bids continue to defend value relative to the 1.41203 equilibrium pivot. Footprint mapping highlights institutional demand resting at the 1.39416 +OB zone, with the next major -OB supply barrier located at 1.42989. With internal Fair Value Gaps largely balanced, execution focuses directly on the 1.39416 demand shelf. Session Follow-Up: Intraday price action respected the bullish structure; holding above 1.34862 keeps the expansion path open toward 1.44450 into the next session.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39416
Resistance1.42989
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40645
50-day SMA1.40325
100-day SMA1.40465
200-day SMA1.38887
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 22.0 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.40056; midline 1.41108.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.39122
Stop Loss
1.34862
Take Profit
1.44450
Risk / Reward
1:1.3
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral0.81963
-0.62%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.82717
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.81486
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.83948
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
USD/CHF (0.81963, -0.62%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 0.82717 50% Equilibrium pivot). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 0.83948 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 0.81486. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.83948 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.81603 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.82682.
Support / Resistance
Support0.81486
Resistance0.83948
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.82564
50-day SMA0.82202
100-day SMA0.81540
200-day SMA0.79941
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 33.6 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.81963; midline 0.82744.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.81963
Stop Loss
0.81603
Take Profit
0.82682
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
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