Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Forex Post-Market Review
Post-Market Session Audit: GBPUSD (+0.4%) Leads the Tape as EURUSD Settles at 1.12334 (+0.37%)
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Forex Session Audit
The daily candle closes with a defensive supply-driven print across the major six. Post-session review below. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 0 assets defending bullish structure and 1 remaining under seller control. EURUSD settled at 1.12334 (+0.37%), with GBPUSD (+0.44%) leading relative strength and USDCHF (-0.25%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with EURUSD holding above structural demand while AUDUSD faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
16.6% Moderate
EUR/USD
Neutral1.12334
+0.37%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.11924
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.11095
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.12752
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on EUR/USD at 1.12334 (+0.37%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (1.11924 midpoint). Any intraday retest into the 1.12752 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 1.11095 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.12752 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.11977 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.13049.
Support / Resistance
Support1.11095
Resistance1.12752
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.12239
50-day SMA1.13713
100-day SMA1.14249
200-day SMA1.15527
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 56.0 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.12334; midline 1.11979.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.12334
Stop Loss
1.11977
Take Profit
1.13049
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Neutral1.34682
+0.44%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.33205
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.31385
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.35026
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on GBP/USD (1.34682, +0.44%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 1.33205 equilibrium baseline. Any intraday retest into the 1.35026 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 1.31385 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.35026 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.34218 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.35609.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31385
Resistance1.35026
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33514
50-day SMA1.33732
100-day SMA1.33887
200-day SMA1.34261
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 74.4 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.34682; midline 1.33236.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34682
Stop Loss
1.34218
Take Profit
1.35609
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Neutral158.369
+0.29%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline157.519
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)156.096
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)158.942
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
USD/JPY (158.369, +0.29%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 157.519 50% Equilibrium pivot). Any intraday retest into the 158.942 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 156.096 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 158.942 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 157.822 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 159.462.
Support / Resistance
Support156.096
Resistance158.942
Moving Averages
21-day SMA157.801
50-day SMA157.383
100-day SMA159.175
200-day SMA158.596
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 53.6 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 158.369; midline 157.922.
Trade Setup
Entry
158.369
Stop Loss
157.822
Take Profit
159.462
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Bearish0.70082
+0.12%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.69816
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.68954
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.70678
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the AUD/USD tape (0.70082, +0.12%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 0.69816 50% Equilibrium threshold. Any intraday retest into the 0.70678 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 0.68954 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.70678 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.72018 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.68020.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68954
Resistance0.70678
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70137
50-day SMA0.70602
100-day SMA0.70318
200-day SMA0.70579
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 54.8 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.70082; midline 0.69979.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.70301
Stop Loss
0.72018
Take Profit
0.68020
Risk / Reward
1:1.3
Sell
USD/CAD
Neutral1.39730
-0.07%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.41125
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.39260
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.42989
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on USD/CAD at 1.39730 (-0.07%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (1.41125 midpoint). Any intraday retest into the 1.42989 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 1.39260 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.42989 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.39348 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.40494.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39260
Resistance1.42989
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40543
50-day SMA1.40347
100-day SMA1.40460
200-day SMA1.38905
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 16.7 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.39730; midline 1.40977.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.39730
Stop Loss
1.39348
Take Profit
1.40494
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CHF
Neutral0.81632
-0.25%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.82610
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.81272
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.83948
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on USD/CHF (0.81632, -0.25%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 0.82610 equilibrium baseline. Any intraday retest into the 0.83948 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 0.81272 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.83948 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.81265 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.82365.
Support / Resistance
Support0.81272
Resistance0.83948
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.82469
50-day SMA0.82229
100-day SMA0.81562
200-day SMA0.79967
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 31.7 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.81632; midline 0.82658.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.81632
Stop Loss
0.81265
Take Profit
0.82365
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
Market Search Previews
Research Desk Takeaway
Analyze central bank rate differential momentum across G10 pairs for carry trade allocation signals.
Institutional Market Research
Get Pre-Market & Post-Market Research Notes Every Day
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) setups & Options Desk notes across NIFTY, S&P 500, DAX, Forex & Top 26 Cryptos — completely free.
Explore Shunya.Trade →⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is prepared by the Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.