Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Forex Post-Market Review
Closing Bell Research Wrap: Bullish Order Flow Across 6 Assets & Next-Session Order Blocks for EURUSD
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Forex Session Audit
The NY close marks the daily candle print — the forex tape settled constructive bullish. End-of-day analysis follows. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 2 assets defending bullish structure and 0 remaining under seller control. EURUSD settled at 1.12233 (+0.14%), with EURUSD (+0.14%) leading relative strength and USDCHF (-0.54%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with GBPUSD, USDCAD holding above structural demand while USDCHF faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
28.2% High
EUR/USD
Neutral1.12233
+0.14%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.11924
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.11095
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.12752
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the EUR/USD tape (1.12233, +0.14%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 1.11924 50% Equilibrium threshold. Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 1.12752, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 1.11095 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.12752 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.11863 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.12974.
Support / Resistance
Support1.11095
Resistance1.12752
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.12217
50-day SMA1.13622
100-day SMA1.14218
200-day SMA1.15488
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 51.8 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.12233; midline 1.11977.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.12233
Stop Loss
1.11863
Take Profit
1.12974
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Bullish1.34501
+0.12%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Discount Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureBOS (Break of Structure)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.33205
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.31385
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.35024
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Institutional structure on GBP/USD remains upward-biased at 1.34501 (+0.12%); recent BOS displacement confirms buyers are absorbing supply inside the Discount regime (1.33205 midpoint). Primary Bullish Order Block (+OB) demand is stacked between 1.31385, whereas overhead supply sits near 1.35024. With internal Fair Value Gaps largely balanced, execution focuses directly on the 1.31385 demand shelf. Session Follow-Up: Intraday price action respected the bullish structure; holding above 1.30305 keeps the expansion path open toward 1.98740 into the next session.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31385
Resistance1.35024
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33575
50-day SMA1.33696
100-day SMA1.33899
200-day SMA1.34240
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 70.7 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.34501; midline 1.33337.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34293
Stop Loss
1.30305
Take Profit
1.98740
Risk / Reward
1:16.2
Buy
USD/JPY
Neutral157.648
-0.52%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline157.519
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)156.096
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)158.942
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on USD/JPY (157.648, -0.52%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 157.519 equilibrium baseline. Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 158.942, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 156.096 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 158.942 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 157.082 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 158.781.
Support / Resistance
Support156.096
Resistance158.942
Moving Averages
21-day SMA157.796
50-day SMA157.352
100-day SMA159.147
200-day SMA158.619
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 46.2 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 157.648; midline 157.906.
Trade Setup
Entry
157.648
Stop Loss
157.082
Take Profit
158.781
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Neutral0.69367
-0.45%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.69816
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.68954
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.70678
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
AUD/USD (0.69367, -0.45%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 0.69816 50% Equilibrium pivot). Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 0.70678, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 0.68954 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.70678 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.69085 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.69933.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68954
Resistance0.70678
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70034
50-day SMA0.70545
100-day SMA0.70305
200-day SMA0.70572
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 53.0 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.69367; midline 0.69946.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.69367
Stop Loss
0.69085
Take Profit
0.69933
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CAD
Bullish1.40108
+0.04%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Discount Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureBOS (Break of Structure)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.41146
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.39302
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.42989
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the USD/CAD tape (1.40108, +0.04%), structural momentum favors the bid side after a clean BOS, keeping the session anchored around the 1.41146 50% Equilibrium level. Primary Bullish Order Block (+OB) demand is stacked between 1.39302, whereas overhead supply sits near 1.42989. With internal Fair Value Gaps largely balanced, execution focuses directly on the 1.39302 demand shelf. Session Follow-Up: Intraday price action respected the bullish structure; holding above 1.34862 keeps the expansion path open toward 1.44450 into the next session.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39302
Resistance1.42989
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40530
50-day SMA1.40381
100-day SMA1.40454
200-day SMA1.38930
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 24.6 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.40108; midline 1.40869.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.39182
Stop Loss
1.34862
Take Profit
1.44450
Risk / Reward
1:1.2
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral0.81491
-0.54%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.82618
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.81289
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.83948
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on USD/CHF at 0.81491 (-0.54%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (0.82618 midpoint). Active Bearish Order Block (-OB) supply is defending 0.83948, leaving downside liquidity exposed toward the 0.81289 demand zone. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.83948 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.81117 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.82239.
Support / Resistance
Support0.81289
Resistance0.83948
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.82406
50-day SMA0.82255
100-day SMA0.81580
200-day SMA0.79993
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 34.4 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.81491; midline 0.82583.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.81491
Stop Loss
0.81117
Take Profit
0.82239
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
Market Search Previews
Research Desk Takeaway
Cross-reference DXY technical levels with CFTC commitment of traders positioning for medium-term directional bias in major pairs.
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