Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Forex Post-Market Review
FX Institutional Desk Closing Follow-Up: How EURUSD (1.11433) & AUDUSD (-1.9%) Delivered Against Morning Levels
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Forex Session Audit
The NY session review reads constructive bullish across the major pairs. Updated setups and carry context below. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 1 assets defending bullish structure and 0 remaining under seller control. EURUSD settled at 1.11433 (-0.82%), with USDCAD (+1.12%) leading relative strength and AUDUSD (-1.94%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with USDCAD holding above structural demand while AUDUSD faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
25.6% High
EUR/USD
Neutral1.11433
-0.82%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.11924
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.11095
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.12752
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
EUR/USD (1.11433, -0.82%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 1.11924 50% Equilibrium pivot). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 1.12752 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 1.11095. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.12752 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.11067 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.12165.
Support / Resistance
Support1.11095
Resistance1.12752
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.12155
50-day SMA1.13521
100-day SMA1.14187
200-day SMA1.15447
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 39.3 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.11433; midline 1.11948.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.11433
Stop Loss
1.11067
Take Profit
1.12165
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Neutral1.33558
-0.90%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.33205
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.31385
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.35024
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the GBP/USD tape (1.33558, -0.90%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 1.33205 50% Equilibrium threshold. Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 1.35024 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 1.31385. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.35024 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.33108 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.34456.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31385
Resistance1.35024
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33596
50-day SMA1.33653
100-day SMA1.33917
200-day SMA1.34219
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 52.0 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.33558; midline 1.33414.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.33558
Stop Loss
1.33108
Take Profit
1.34456
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Neutral158.425
+0.04%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline157.519
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)156.096
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)158.942
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on USD/JPY at 158.425 (+0.04%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (157.519 midpoint). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 158.942 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 156.096. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 158.942 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 157.846 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 159.583.
Support / Resistance
Support156.096
Resistance158.942
Moving Averages
21-day SMA157.912
50-day SMA157.349
100-day SMA159.125
200-day SMA158.649
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 55.6 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 158.425; midline 157.960.
Trade Setup
Entry
158.425
Stop Loss
157.846
Take Profit
159.583
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Neutral0.68681
-1.94%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.69626
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.68573
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.70678
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on AUD/USD (0.68681, -1.94%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 0.69626 equilibrium baseline. Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 0.70678 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 0.68573. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.70678 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.68392 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.69259.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68573
Resistance0.70678
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.69967
50-day SMA0.70493
100-day SMA0.70298
200-day SMA0.70566
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 36.7 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.68681; midline 0.69934.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.68681
Stop Loss
0.68392
Take Profit
0.69259
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CAD
Bullish1.41280
+1.12%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Discount Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureBOS (Break of Structure)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.41146
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.39302
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.42989
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
USD/CAD (1.41280, +1.12%) maintains a constructive institutional footprint after confirming a BOS, with price operating in the Discount zone (0.0% from the 1.41146 50% Equilibrium baseline). Footprint mapping highlights institutional demand resting at the 1.39302 +OB zone, with the next major -OB supply barrier located at 1.42989. With internal Fair Value Gaps largely balanced, execution focuses directly on the 1.39302 demand shelf. Session Follow-Up: Intraday price action respected the bullish structure; holding above 1.37499 keeps the expansion path open toward 1.44450 into the next session.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39302
Resistance1.42989
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40566
50-day SMA1.40428
100-day SMA1.40449
200-day SMA1.38960
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 50.9 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.41280; midline 1.40802.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.41036
Stop Loss
1.37499
Take Profit
1.44450
Risk / Reward
1:1.0
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral0.82001
+0.43%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.82618
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.81289
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.83948
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the USD/CHF tape (0.82001, +0.43%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 0.82618 50% Equilibrium threshold. Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 0.83948 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 0.81289. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.83948 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.81643 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.82716.
Support / Resistance
Support0.81289
Resistance0.83948
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.82382
50-day SMA0.82291
100-day SMA0.81597
200-day SMA0.80022
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 45.2 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.82001; midline 0.82534.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.82001
Stop Loss
0.81643
Take Profit
0.82716
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
Market Search Previews
Research Desk Takeaway
Cross-reference DXY technical levels with CFTC commitment of traders positioning for medium-term directional bias in major pairs.
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