Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Forex Post-Market Review
FX Institutional Desk Closing Follow-Up: How EURUSD (1.12259) & USDCAD (+0.7%) Delivered Against Morning Levels
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Forex Session Audit
Forex order flow resolved balanced two-way rotational into the NY close. Settlement levels and overnight bias follow. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 1 assets defending bullish structure and 1 remaining under seller control. EURUSD settled at 1.12259 (-0.02%), with USDCAD (+0.73%) leading relative strength and GBPUSD (-0.13%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with USDCAD holding above structural demand while AUDUSD faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
19.9% Moderate
EUR/USD
Neutral1.12259
-0.02%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.11924
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.11095
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.12752
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the EUR/USD tape (1.12259, -0.02%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 1.11924 50% Equilibrium threshold. Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 1.12752 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 1.11095. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.12752 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.11870 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.13037.
Support / Resistance
Support1.11095
Resistance1.12752
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.12235
50-day SMA1.13466
100-day SMA1.14172
200-day SMA1.15420
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 51.7 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.12259; midline 1.12001.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.12259
Stop Loss
1.11870
Take Profit
1.13037
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Neutral1.34383
-0.13%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.33205
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.31385
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.35024
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on GBP/USD at 1.34383 (-0.13%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (1.33205 midpoint). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 1.35024 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 1.31385. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.35024 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.33907 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.35337.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31385
Resistance1.35024
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33750
50-day SMA1.33653
100-day SMA1.33950
200-day SMA1.34212
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 66.1 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.34383; midline 1.33562.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.34383
Stop Loss
1.33907
Take Profit
1.35337
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Neutral157.844
+0.22%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline157.519
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)156.096
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)158.942
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on USD/JPY (157.844, +0.22%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 157.519 equilibrium baseline. Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 158.942 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 156.096. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 158.942 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 157.251 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 159.029.
Support / Resistance
Support156.096
Resistance158.942
Moving Averages
21-day SMA157.829
50-day SMA157.285
100-day SMA159.080
200-day SMA158.658
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 44.3 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 157.844; midline 157.896.
Trade Setup
Entry
157.844
Stop Loss
157.251
Take Profit
159.029
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Bearish0.69271
-0.06%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.69614
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.68550
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.70678
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
AUD/USD (0.69271, -0.06%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 0.69614 50% Equilibrium pivot). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 0.70678 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 0.68550. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.70678 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.71988 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.67510.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68550
Resistance0.70678
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.69956
50-day SMA0.70459
100-day SMA0.70296
200-day SMA0.70568
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 41.3 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.69271; midline 0.69936.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.70267
Stop Loss
0.71988
Take Profit
0.67510
Risk / Reward
1:1.6
Sell
USD/CAD
Bullish1.41190
+0.73%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Discount Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureBOS (Break of Structure)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.41146
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.39302
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.42989
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the USD/CAD tape (1.41190, +0.73%), structural momentum favors the bid side after a clean BOS, keeping the session anchored around the 1.41146 50% Equilibrium level. Footprint mapping highlights institutional demand resting at the 1.39302 +OB zone, with the next major -OB supply barrier located at 1.42989. With internal Fair Value Gaps largely balanced, execution focuses directly on the 1.39302 demand shelf. Session Follow-Up: Intraday price action respected the bullish structure; holding above 1.37499 keeps the expansion path open toward 1.44450 into the next session.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39302
Resistance1.42989
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40531
50-day SMA1.40450
100-day SMA1.40433
200-day SMA1.38979
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 51.5 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.41190; midline 1.40677.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.41046
Stop Loss
1.37499
Take Profit
1.44450
Risk / Reward
1:1.0
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral0.81895
+0.44%
Intraday
Neutral
Daily
Neutral
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.82618
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.81289
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.83948
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on USD/CHF at 0.81895 (+0.44%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (0.82618 midpoint). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 0.83948 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 0.81289. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.83948 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.81526 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.82633.
Support / Resistance
Support0.81289
Resistance0.83948
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.82299
50-day SMA0.82301
100-day SMA0.81603
200-day SMA0.80042
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 39.4 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.81895; midline 0.82456.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.81895
Stop Loss
0.81526
Take Profit
0.82633
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
Market Search Previews
Research Desk Takeaway
Cross-reference DXY technical levels with CFTC commitment of traders positioning for medium-term directional bias in major pairs.
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