Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Forex Post-Market Review
Closing Bell Research Wrap: Bullish Order Flow Across 6 Assets & Next-Session Order Blocks for EURUSD
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Forex Session Audit
Forex order flow resolved constructive bullish into the NY close. Settlement levels and overnight bias follow. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 1 assets defending bullish structure and 0 remaining under seller control. EURUSD settled at 1.11645 (+0.15%), with USDCAD (+0.61%) leading relative strength and GBPUSD (-0.11%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with USDCAD holding above structural demand while GBPUSD faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
19.5% Moderate
EUR/USD
Neutral1.11645
+0.15%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.11924
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.11095
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.12752
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
EUR/USD (1.11645, +0.15%) trades under defensive institutional distribution following a CHoCH, positioned in the Premium zone (0.0% from the 1.11924 50% Equilibrium pivot). Any intraday retest into the 1.12752 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 1.11095 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.12752 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.11243 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.12447.
Support / Resistance
Support1.11095
Resistance1.12752
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.12116
50-day SMA1.13359
100-day SMA1.14138
200-day SMA1.15385
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 41.7 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.11645; midline 1.11964.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.11645
Stop Loss
1.11243
Take Profit
1.12447
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
GBP/USD
Neutral1.33451
-0.11%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.33205
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.31385
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.35024
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the GBP/USD tape (1.33451, -0.11%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 1.33205 50% Equilibrium threshold. Any intraday retest into the 1.35024 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 1.31385 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 1.35024 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 1.32976 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 1.34401.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31385
Resistance1.35024
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33659
50-day SMA1.33596
100-day SMA1.33952
200-day SMA1.34192
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 46.7 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.33451; midline 1.33591.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.33451
Stop Loss
1.32976
Take Profit
1.34401
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/JPY
Neutral158.721
+0.27%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline157.519
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)156.096
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)158.942
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on USD/JPY at 158.721 (+0.27%); the recent CHoCH keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (157.519 midpoint). Any intraday retest into the 158.942 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 156.096 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 158.942 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 158.125 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 159.913.
Support / Resistance
Support156.096
Resistance158.942
Moving Averages
21-day SMA157.947
50-day SMA157.273
100-day SMA159.056
200-day SMA158.676
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 53.4 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 158.721; midline 157.928.
Trade Setup
Entry
158.721
Stop Loss
158.125
Take Profit
159.913
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
AUD/USD
Neutral0.68700
+0.02%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.69574
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.68470
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.70678
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
Order-flow structure on AUD/USD (0.68700, +0.02%) leans offered after a CHoCH, with rallies facing institutional supply relative to the 0.69574 equilibrium baseline. Any intraday retest into the 0.70678 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 0.68470 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.70678 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.68372 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.69356.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68470
Resistance0.70678
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.69793
50-day SMA0.70387
100-day SMA0.70278
200-day SMA0.70561
Moving Average Trends
EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 30.9 — Bearish momentum below equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.68700; midline 0.69864.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.68700
Stop Loss
0.68372
Take Profit
0.69356
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
USD/CAD
Bullish1.42050
+0.61%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Discount Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureBOS (Break of Structure)
50% Equilibrium Baseline1.41146
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)1.39302
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)1.42989
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
USD/CAD (1.42050, +0.61%) maintains a constructive institutional footprint after confirming a BOS, with price operating in the Discount zone (0.0% from the 1.41146 50% Equilibrium baseline). Pullbacks into the 1.39302 Bullish Order Block are being monitored for absorption, while 1.42989 marks the overhead liquidity ceiling. With internal Fair Value Gaps largely balanced, execution focuses directly on the 1.39302 demand shelf. Session Follow-Up: Intraday price action respected the bullish structure; holding above 1.37499 keeps the expansion path open toward 1.46320 into the next session.
Support / Resistance
Support1.39302
Resistance1.42989
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.40669
50-day SMA1.40521
100-day SMA1.40437
200-day SMA1.39005
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 64.1 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 1.42050; midline 1.40639.
Trade Setup
Entry
1.41532
Stop Loss
1.37499
Take Profit
1.46320
Risk / Reward
1:1.2
Buy
USD/CHF
Neutral0.82451
+0.61%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
⚡ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional Map
Premium Zone (0.0% from 50% Eq) Market StructureCHoCH (Change of Character)
50% Equilibrium Baseline0.82618
Bullish Order Block (+OB Demand)0.81289
Bearish Order Block (-OB Supply)0.83948
Fair Value Gap (FVG Imbalance)None Active
Liquidity Pools (EQH / EQL)Internal Liquidity
Research Desk Order Flow & Session Note
On the USD/CHF tape (0.82451, +0.61%), overhead supply continues to cap relief bounces after a CHoCH around the 0.82618 50% Equilibrium threshold. Any intraday retest into the 0.83948 Bearish Order Block faces overhead distribution, with 0.81289 acting as the primary downside magnet. With nearby imbalances cleared, the 0.83948 supply block remains the decisive inflection zone. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 0.82070 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 0.83213.
Support / Resistance
Support0.81289
Resistance0.83948
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.82318
50-day SMA0.82335
100-day SMA0.81620
200-day SMA0.80065
Moving Average Trends
Mixed MA positioning — no clear directional confluence.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI 48.6 — Neutral zone. No strong directional signal.
Bollinger Bands
20-period band. Price 0.82451; midline 0.82411.
Trade Setup
Entry
0.82451
Stop Loss
0.82070
Take Profit
0.83213
Risk / Reward
1:2.0
Neutral
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