Shunya.Trade Market Research Desk — Asia-Pacific Post-Market Review
Post-Market Session Audit: N225 (-0.7%) Leads the Tape as N225 Settles at 60,819.36 (-0.70%)
Research Desk Post-Market Follow-Up — Asia-Pacific Session Audit
The session across Tokyo, Hong Kong, and Singapore resolved defensive supply-driven. Recap below. Following up on our morning pre-market levels, today's tape resolved with 0 assets defending bullish structure and 1 remaining under seller control. N225 settled at 60,819.36 (-0.70%), with N225 (-0.70%) leading relative strength and N225 (-0.70%) absorbing the heaviest session distribution.
What Carried Through & What Changes for Tomorrow: Today's price action respected the outer Order Block boundaries on the majority of tracked setups, with N225 holding above structural demand while N225 faced rejection near overhead supply. Going into the next session, watch the updated 50% Equilibrium pivots and Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalances below — those levels define whether today's close transitions into trend continuation or a liquidity sweep reversal.
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
17.5% Moderate
Institutional Cross-Asset Matrix
SMC Dealing-Range & Structural Execution Radar
1 Instruments Tracked
| Asset / Benchmark | Last Price (24h) | SMC Order Flow | Dealing Range | 50% Equilibrium | Invalidation (SL) | Objective (TP) | R:R Asymmetry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 (N225) | 60,819.36 -0.70% | ═ Range Hold | Discount (15%) | 61,216.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5:1 |
DEALING-RANGE & FIBONACCI MATRIX
Nikkei 225 (N225)
Strong Bearish
60,819.36
-0.70%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
📐 Institutional Dealing-Range & Order-Block Telemetry
Premium Quadrant (17.4% vs 50% EQ) 0% Discount (30,792.74)50% Equilibrium (51,812.23)100% Premium (72,831.73)
Institutional Accumulation Zone (+OB)Spot Position: 71% of RangeInstitutional Distribution Zone (-OB)
Structural EventMSS (Bearish) at 62,726.18
50% Equilibrium Pivot51,812.23
Demand Zone (+OB)50,347.65 – 50,691.22
Supply Zone (-OB)64,819.56 – 65,067.80
Fair Value Gap (50% CE)Bullish: 59,440.18 – 60,318.08
External Liquidity PoolInternal Range Liquidity
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Structural Tape Read
Desk tracking flags bearish displacement on Nikkei 225 (N225) at 60,819.36 (-0.70%); the recent MSS at 62,726.18 keeps sellers in control across the Premium regime (51,812.23 midpoint). Institutional sellers remain positioned across the 64,819.56–65,067.80 -OB supply shelf, while the next structural support rests near 50,347.65–50,691.22. An open Bearish Fair Value Gap (57,775.16–62,653.98) reinforces overhead supply on relief rallies. Session Follow-Up: Sellers defended overhead supply throughout the session; staying below 62,547.09 preserves the drawdown trajectory toward 57,709.44.
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 70,798.62 |
| 23.6% | 67,482.15 |
| 38.2% | 65,430.44 |
| 50.0% | 63,772.21 |
| 61.8% | 62,113.98 |
| 78.6% | 59,753.11 |
| Low (100.0%) | 56,745.81 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 72,625.48 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 74,620.98 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 79,483.25 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 54,918.94 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 52,923.44 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 48,061.17 |
Key Structural Boundaries
Primary Support (+OB Floor)56,745.81
Primary Resistance (-OB Cap)70,798.62
Session High / Low61,788.44 / 60,643.79
Institutional Moving Average Ribbon
21-Day Dynamic Value62,816.99
50-Day Institutional Mean64,831.49
100-Day Structural Trend66,043.17
200-Day Macro Benchmark62,090.97
Trend & MA Alignment
Medium-term averages are in rotation (21d at 62,816.99, 50d at 64,831.49, 200d at 62,090.97) — price is negotiating between short-term momentum and longer-term institutional value.
Momentum & Order Flow (RSI)
RSI at 43 lingers below the midline — momentum remains in the bears' hands, though not yet at capitulation levels.
Volatility Envelope (Bollinger)
Remaining capped beneath the Bollinger basis (62,570.63) keeps the near-term channel tilted toward the lower band at 58,384.41 until buyers reclaim the midpoint.
Risk-Defined Order-Flow Setup & InvalidationsStrong Sell
Entry
60,819.36
Stop Loss
62,547.09
Take Profit
57,709.44
Risk / Reward
1.8
Quantitative Options & Structure Strategies
Long Put63%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread63%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread60%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
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Research Desk Takeaway
Watch SGX Straits Times Index divergence with regional peers for relative strength cues across ASEAN markets.
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