πŸ“Œ Originally published at shunya.trade β€” View with interactive charts & tools.
Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Forex Market Post-Market Review

April 15, 202609:16 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
EUR/USD
1.17989
-0.01%
GBP/USD
1.35630
+0.01%
USD/JPY
159.017
+0.02%
AUD/USD
0.71691
-0.03%
USD/CAD
1.37384
-0.03%
USD/CHF
0.78271
+0.09%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.2% Moderate
EUR/USD
Strong Bullish
1.17989
-0.01%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (84.5)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA (1.16) remains unbroken on the downside β€” bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. RSI has climbed to 85, putting the tape in overbought territory. New directional longs carry elevated reversal risk. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend. Across the full 31-strategy universe, Short Put (Cash-Secured) captures the highest score at 68%. Alignment across trend, momentum, and vol regime drives the ranking.
Support / Resistance
Support1.14000
Resistance1.18000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.16000
50-day SMA1.16000
100-day SMA1.17000
200-day SMA1.17000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 84.5 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.18000
23.6%1.17000
38.2%1.16000
50.0%1.16000
61.8%1.15000
78.6%1.15000
Low (100.0%)1.14000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.19000
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.20000
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.21000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.13000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.12000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.11000
Trade Setup
Entry
1.18000
Stop Loss
1.18000
Take Profit
1.19000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)68%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call68%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread68%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
GBP/USD
Strong Bullish
1.35630
+0.01%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (81.6)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
The 20-day SMA at 1.33 continues to act as dynamic support β€” price remains above it, reinforcing upside bias. The 82 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. MACD confirms the directional momentum: histogram above zero and widening. The impulse leg has room to extend. Strategy selection converges on Short Put (Cash-Secured) (68%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support1.31000
Resistance1.36000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.33000
50-day SMA1.34000
100-day SMA1.35000
200-day SMA1.34000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 81.6 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.36000
23.6%1.35000
38.2%1.34000
50.0%1.34000
61.8%1.33000
78.6%1.32000
Low (100.0%)1.31000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.36000
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.37000
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.39000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.31000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.30000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.29000
Trade Setup
Entry
1.36000
Stop Loss
1.35000
Take Profit
1.37000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)68%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call68%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread68%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
USD/JPY
Bearish
159.017
+0.02%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (40.0)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (159). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. With RSI at 40, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. Momentum confirmation is bearish β€” MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. The scoring engine flags Bear Call Spread with a 57% conviction score β€” the strongest signal in today's scan.
Support / Resistance
Support155.360
Resistance160.560
Moving Averages
21-day SMA159.420
50-day SMA158.780
100-day SMA157.320
200-day SMA155.280
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 40.0 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)160.560
23.6%159.330
38.2%158.570
50.0%157.960
61.8%157.340
78.6%156.470
Low (100.0%)155.360
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)161.240
Ext 1.272 (Up)161.980
Ext 1.618 (Up)163.780
Ext 1.13 (Dn)154.680
Ext 1.272 (Dn)153.940
Ext 1.618 (Dn)152.140
Trade Setup
Entry
159.020
Stop Loss
159.380
Take Profit
158.290
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread57%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)57%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)50%
Sell Naked Call
AUD/USD
Strong Bullish
0.71691
-0.03%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bullish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bullish
RSI (79.8)Overbought
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price respects the 20-day average at 0.70 as a floor, offering a constructive base for directional longs. The 80 RSI print warns of stretched momentum. Consider scaling out of directional longs or hedging with defined-risk structures. The moving-average convergence divergence oscillator supports the bull case β€” histogram expanding above the zero line. Strategy selection converges on Short Put (Cash-Secured) (71%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support0.68000
Resistance0.72000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.70000
50-day SMA0.70000
100-day SMA0.70000
200-day SMA0.68000
Moving Average Signals
Bullish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed above 50-SMA) β€” Trend accelerating upward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely high at 79.8 (Overbought), indicating price is extended and a pullback is likely.
MACD Analysis
MACD is expanding positively, highlighting that buyers are firmly in control of momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.72000
23.6%0.71000
38.2%0.71000
50.0%0.70000
61.8%0.70000
78.6%0.69000
Low (100.0%)0.68000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.72000
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.73000
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.74000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.68000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.67000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.66000
Trade Setup
Entry
0.72000
Stop Loss
0.71000
Take Profit
0.72000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Buy
Top Options Strategies
Short Put (Cash-Secured)71%
Sell OTM Put
Covered Call71%
Own shares + Sell OTM Call
Bull Put Spread71%
Sell Put + Buy lower Put
USD/CAD
Strong Bearish
1.37384
-0.03%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (21.4)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
With price beneath the 20-day moving average (1.39), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. Momentum oscillator at 21 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. The MACD reading is bearish β€” histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it. Quantitative screening across 31 structures identifies Bear Call Spread (68%) as today's top-ranked setup.
Support / Resistance
Support1.35000
Resistance1.40000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA1.39000
50-day SMA1.38000
100-day SMA1.37000
200-day SMA1.38000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 21.4 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)1.40000
23.6%1.39000
38.2%1.38000
50.0%1.38000
61.8%1.37000
78.6%1.36000
Low (100.0%)1.35000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)1.41000
Ext 1.272 (Up)1.41000
Ext 1.618 (Up)1.43000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1.35000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1.34000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1.32000
Trade Setup
Entry
1.37000
Stop Loss
1.38000
Take Profit
1.37000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread68%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)68%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)61%
Sell Naked Call
USD/CHF
Strong Bearish
0.78271
+0.09%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (19.8)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (0.79), shifting short-term structure to defensive. With the RSI reading at 20, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. The moving-average convergence divergence reading confirms downside pressure with a negative and deepening histogram. Strategy selection converges on Bear Call Spread (68%) β€” the quantitative factors align across direction, momentum, and implied volatility.
Support / Resistance
Support0.77000
Resistance0.80000
Moving Averages
21-day SMA0.79000
50-day SMA0.79000
100-day SMA0.78000
200-day SMA0.79000
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 19.8 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed, warning of an imminent explosive directional price move.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)0.80000
23.6%0.80000
38.2%0.79000
50.0%0.79000
61.8%0.78000
78.6%0.77000
Low (100.0%)0.77000
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)0.81000
Ext 1.272 (Up)0.82000
Ext 1.618 (Up)0.83000
Ext 1.13 (Dn)0.76000
Ext 1.272 (Dn)0.76000
Ext 1.618 (Dn)0.74000
Trade Setup
Entry
0.78000
Stop Loss
0.79000
Take Profit
0.78000
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Bear Call Spread68%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Broken Wing Butterfly (Calls)68%
Asymmetric call butterfly for credit
Short Call (Naked)61%
Sell Naked Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Monitor FX implied volatility term structure and risk-reversal skew for institutional hedging flow direction.
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.