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Shunya.Trade Options Engine

Crypto Market Post-Market Review

May 16, 202612:00 PM LocalReal-Time Market Data
Bitcoin (BTC)
78,047.68
-1.29%
Ethereum (ETH)
2,175.15
-2.17%
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.4% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Bearish
78,047.68
-1.29%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (47.9)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (79,300). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. With RSI at 48, the path of least resistance remains to the downside until buyers can reclaim the neutral zone. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis. The structured approach identifies Long Put at 56% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support64,971.71
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA79,269.52
50-day SMA75,192.12
100-day SMA72,062.60
200-day SMA81,752.25
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 47.9 is well within the neutral zone, showing balanced momentum without extreme conditions.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)82,792.21
23.6%78,586.57
38.2%75,984.78
50.0%73,881.96
61.8%71,779.14
78.6%68,785.29
Low (100.0%)64,971.71
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)85,108.88
Ext 1.272 (Up)87,639.39
Ext 1.618 (Up)93,805.28
Ext 1.13 (Dn)62,655.04
Ext 1.272 (Dn)60,124.53
Ext 1.618 (Dn)53,958.64
Trade Setup
Entry
78,047.68
Stop Loss
79,256.40
Take Profit
75,630.24
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put56%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread56%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread53%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Strong Bearish
2,175.15
-2.17%
Intraday
Bullish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (33.7)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Price has broken below the 20-day SMA (2,297), shifting short-term structure to defensive. The 34 RSI reading places the asset in the oversold zone. Watch for a bullish divergence — it would signal the selling wave is exhausting. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift. Across the full 31-strategy universe, Long Put captures the highest score at 72%. Alignment across trend, momentum, and vol regime drives the ranking.
Support / Resistance
Support1,939.53
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,300.38
50-day SMA2,254.22
100-day SMA2,149.11
200-day SMA2,610.57
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 33.7 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Volume trend is balanced, showing no decisive edge for either buyers or sellers.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend Structure)
Fibonacci Retracements
LevelPrice
High (0.0%)2,464.78
23.6%2,340.82
38.2%2,264.14
50.0%2,202.16
61.8%2,140.18
78.6%2,051.93
Low (100.0%)1,939.53
Extensions
ExtensionPrice
Ext 1.13 (Up)2,533.07
Ext 1.272 (Up)2,607.65
Ext 1.618 (Up)2,789.39
Ext 1.13 (Dn)1,871.25
Ext 1.272 (Dn)1,796.66
Ext 1.618 (Dn)1,614.92
Trade Setup
Entry
2,175.15
Stop Loss
2,217.67
Take Profit
2,090.12
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put72%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread69%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track institutional BTC ETF flow data against derivatives open interest growth for macro-driven allocation cues.
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⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.