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Shunya.Trade Options Engine
Crypto Market Post-Market Review
Volatility Index — CBOE VIX
18.0% Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC)
Bearish76,634.00
-0.42%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Bearish
Weekly
Bullish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (33.6)Neutral
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Near-term weakness is evident with price trading below the 20-day SMA (79,381). Momentum oscillator at 34 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. MACD histogram negative and deepening — the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis. The structured approach identifies Long Put at 49% as the highest-probability play. Risk/reward and regime fit both favour this setup.
Support / Resistance
Support65,725.26
Resistance82,792.21
Moving Averages
21-day SMA79,208.87
50-day SMA75,834.82
100-day SMA72,272.59
200-day SMA81,268.17
Moving Average Signals
No significant recent moving average crosses.
Momentum (RSI)
RSI at 33.6 confirms strong selling momentum, though nearing oversold territory.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price is trading comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, representing normal historical volatility levels.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Consolidation / Range-bound Structure
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 82,792.21 |
| 23.6% | 78,764.41 |
| 38.2% | 76,272.63 |
| 50.0% | 74,258.73 |
| 61.8% | 72,244.83 |
| 78.6% | 69,377.59 |
| Low (100.0%) | 65,725.26 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 85,010.91 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 87,434.42 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 93,339.59 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 63,506.55 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 61,083.05 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 55,177.88 |
Trade Setup
Entry
76,634.00
Stop Loss
77,777.27
Take Profit
74,347.45
Risk / Reward
2.0
Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put49%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread49%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread46%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Ethereum (ETH)
Strong Bearish2,108.34
-0.95%
Intraday
Bearish
Daily
Strong Bearish
Weekly
Bearish
Monthly
Bearish
RSI (22.3)Oversold
OVERSOLDNEUTRALOVERBOUGHT
Analyst Summary
Short-term trend damage is confirmed below the 20-day SMA (2,273). The path of least resistance points lower until this level is recovered. With the RSI reading at 22, the tape is washed out. Watch for a divergence signal to confirm a base-building attempt. Momentum confirmation is bearish — MACD histogram negative and signal-line crossover pointing lower. Long Put leads the strategy table at 72% — directional bias and vol regime both align.
Support / Resistance
Support2,011.80
Resistance2,464.78
Moving Averages
21-day SMA2,272.14
50-day SMA2,261.63
100-day SMA2,150.37
200-day SMA2,584.64
Moving Average Signals
Bearish short-term cross (21-EMA crossed below 50-SMA) — Trend accelerating downward
Momentum (RSI)
RSI is extremely low at 22.3 (Oversold), suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted and a bounce is possible.
MACD Analysis
MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating sellers hold a strong momentum advantage.
Bollinger Bands
Price crashed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating panic selling or extreme bearishness.
Volume Analysis
Recent volume spikes on down-days warn of active distribution and seller dominance.
Chart Pattern / Signal
Inverted V-Shape / Double Top Formation
Fibonacci Retracements
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| High (0.0%) | 2,464.78 |
| 23.6% | 2,357.88 |
| 38.2% | 2,291.74 |
| 50.0% | 2,238.29 |
| 61.8% | 2,184.84 |
| 78.6% | 2,108.73 |
| Low (100.0%) | 2,011.80 |
Extensions
| Extension | Price |
|---|---|
| Ext 1.13 (Up) | 2,523.67 |
| Ext 1.272 (Up) | 2,588.00 |
| Ext 1.618 (Up) | 2,744.73 |
| Ext 1.13 (Dn) | 1,952.91 |
| Ext 1.272 (Dn) | 1,888.58 |
| Ext 1.618 (Dn) | 1,731.85 |
Trade Setup
Entry
2,108.34
Stop Loss
2,151.60
Take Profit
2,021.81
Risk / Reward
2.0
Strong Sell
Top Options Strategies
Long Put72%
Buy OTM Put
Put Ratio Backspread72%
Sell 1 higher Put + Buy 2 lower Puts
Bear Call Spread69%
Sell Call + Buy higher Call
Market Search Previews
Key Takeaway
Track institutional BTC ETF flow data against derivatives open interest growth for macro-driven allocation cues.
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