The tape holds above the 20-day average (1.15), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. RSI has climbed to 75, putting the tape in overbought territory. New directional longs carry elevated reversal risk. MACD histogram turns negative, adding weight to the bearish thesis.

EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.

RSI 75.2 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.

TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.

20-period band. Price 1.15808; midline 1.14933.

FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.

TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%

The 20-day SMA (1.34) remains unbroken on the downside — bulls retain structural control of the near-term tape. Momentum is overheated at 77. While trend can override oscillators, the statistical edge for fresh longs is diminished. MACD histogram negative and deepening — the momentum profile reinforces the short-side thesis.

EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.

RSI 76.8 — Overbought. Momentum elevated; watch for pullback.

TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.

20-period band. Price 1.35353; midline 1.34321.

FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.

TAE Signal: NEUTRAL | Grade: F | Score: 0%

With price beneath the 20-day moving average (160), the burden of proof shifts to the bulls. Rallies into the SMA are selling opportunities until reclaimed. Momentum oscillator at 29 enters oversold territory. Contrarian long setups and defined-risk debit strategies gain merit. On the MACD, the fast line has crossed below the signal line with a negative histogram — confirming the bearish momentum shift.

EMA 9 < EMA 21 and SMA 20 < SMA 50 — short and medium-term bearish alignment.

RSI 28.8 — Oversold. Potential mean-reversion developing.

TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.

20-period band. Price 159.603; midline 160.377.

FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.

TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%

The tape holds above the 20-day average (0.70), maintaining the positive short-term trend channel. Momentum oscillator at 66 enters overbought territory — the tape is stretched and vulnerable to profit-taking. The MACD reading is bearish — histogram below zero and expanding, suggesting selling pressure has momentum behind it.

EMA 9 > EMA 21 and SMA 20 > SMA 50 — short and medium-term bullish alignment.

RSI 65.6 — Bullish momentum above equilibrium.

TAE mode — refer to TAE direction signal above.

20-period band. Price 0.70852; midline 0.70249.

FX spot — no centralised volume. Price action + TAE signal are primary inputs.

TAE Signal: SHORT | Grade: F | Score: 0%